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Football Saturday 18th August Discussion
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Stallion


Joined: 27 Oct 2007
Posts: 9294
Location: Leicestershire

Post Posted: Thu Aug 16, 2012 5:41 am     Post subject: Football Saturday 18th August Discussion Reply with quote

Sensible discussion and relevant info on todays matches please.
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damorizla
Group 1 Class


Joined: 21 Jan 2012
Posts: 259


Post Posted: Thu Aug 16, 2012 7:40 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Rangers v East stirling

Who would of thought this would be a league fixture Shocked
For the `crack` im having a bet on both teams to score @ 7/4. Poor odds but you never know, stranger things have happened in football Very Happy
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WHISKERS
Handicapper


Joined: 23 Jun 2012
Posts: 10


Post Posted: Thu Aug 16, 2012 10:36 pm     Post subject: BET THE VALUE ODDS Reply with quote

Season after season the odds of a home win, draw and away win are as near as certain 45% 25% 30% respectively so if you can get a decent home team playing an out of form or iffy away team there can be some tremendous value
Last season Arsenal had a poor spell early on but were odds on away against several teams, playing at the bookies it was possible to bet the home side and the draw at even money or better combined, Betfair easily done just by laying Arsenal, near the end of the season Stoke V Man City the same with Stoke having a Very good home record and City iffy away.
This doesn't mean you bet every time the away team is odds on but when it doesn't look that certain they will win, Man Utd were exceptional away from home last season, the season before they had lots of draws.
Look for trend teams and ones carrying reputations which they don't currently deserve, Liverpool were great for that last season and Spurs in the latter half of the season. Keep on batting and seek VALUE Shocked
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Mar84tin
Classic Winner


Joined: 17 Aug 2009
Posts: 752
Location: Southern Poland.

Post Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 1:59 pm     Post subject: damorizla post Reply with quote

damorizla we want easy and fast money in this Saturday.
So you need to focus on good acco Smile

I want to play three games.

The first for me is Port Vale to beat Barnet.
In last five games at Vale Park, the host win four matches.
Port Vale team ended the game in twelfth place in the table, earning 59 points.

Barnet secured the maintenance of the league until the last two games
It is a good omen before the next game.

The second is Jaga to beat Podbeskidzie.
Jagiellonia team last season won tenth place in the league table.
Now the team hopes to improve the investment firm, and even join the fight for a place bonus game in European competition.

Podbeskidzie in his inaugural season in the league has fulfilled its purpose and was maintained for another season.
Now the team is likely to be far more difficult.
Currently, Podbeskidzie is mentioned as one of the leading candidates to drop.

Podbeskidzie will start the season playing with teams that last season, took the top places in the table(not including Jagiellonia and Wisla) and I do not see that in any of these meetings has won three points

Can you have any other suggestions??.

Large bunkers please Very Happy
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lookingglass91
Group 3 Class


Joined: 14 May 2012
Posts: 97


Post Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:24 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

What are people's thoughts on BTTS Saturday? I must have looked at the coupon slip about 50 times and I still can't pick anything! Laughing

Leicester v P'boro is the only that really sticks out...
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WHISKERS
Handicapper


Joined: 23 Jun 2012
Posts: 10


Post Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 5:35 pm     Post subject: BTTS and VALUE BETS Reply with quote

Not sure if they on the coupon but Rangers v East Stirling is available at 2/1 for both teams to score, considering Rangers score but are very iffy at the back, lucky to draw against Peterhead when 2-1 down (injury time equaliseer) and conceeded against Brechin in the cup. 2/1 looks VALUE to me.

Away from BTTS; The other value is Bournemouth to win at 5/4 on the coupon, away. Their oppponents Portsmouth are in turmoil, players coming and going daily is not a recipe for success.

The double value game is Wigan and the Draw against Chelsea, combined both results are odds against and Chelsea have never been brilliant away and can be slow starters.

Keep on batting. Very Happy
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welshie1
At Stud


Joined: 30 Aug 2007
Posts: 3493


Post Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 5:57 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Wigan v Chelsea is on Sunday.

I've done a hell of a lot of tips for Saturday, buzzing about the football being back, but my new strategy is backing home sides who have won their most recent game, and are facing a side that's drawn or lost it's most recent game. Obviously I take the standard of players and previous H2H into context, but I think it will work well in the regular league season.

Just looking at the early game in the Championship, Leeds look nice value @ 2.5. Won 4-0 in the cup last week against Shrewsbury, while Wolves struggled to a win on penalties at home against Aldershot and can't call on some of their best players. Managers could be crucial as well, Warnock knows the league inside out, while Wolves are rebuilding with Solbakken.

Newport County are playing well early on in the BSP and are 1.8 to beat newly promoted Dartford, who have lost two out two. While Preston could be a team to watch this season, Westley has transformed the squad and they beat Huddersfield 2-0 on Monday night, while opponents Colchester lost 3-0 at Yeovil.
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Hampy1
Listed Class


Joined: 27 Oct 2009
Posts: 25


Post Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 6:51 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

huddersfield were minus rhodes and a couple others. cup came at wrong time for some clubs
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thegeek
Handicapper


Joined: 16 Aug 2012
Posts: 23


Post Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 7:25 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

newport are playing lincoln

I fancy a few away sides this weekend.

Watford to win at Palace, Watford have brought in a few good new players and with a legend like Zola as their new manager the players will be looking to impress. Palace will struggle this season in my opinion.

Blackburn should beat Ipswich. Ipswich are always shaky at the back and Blackburn have some quality forwards at this level.

Doncaster to beat Walsall, this ones abit iffy but I think Doncaster will be one of the stronger teams in this division. They've got some good veterans in their squad and their experience should stand them in good stead.

Coventry to beat Yeovil. Yeovil concede plenty of goals at home and hopefully Coventry can take advantage of this. Coventry will be looking to bounce straight back up into the championship and will be flying out of the blocks tomorrow.

Wycombe to beat york. York have just been promoted, don't have any star players as such and not really expecting much from them. Wycombe should have too much quality for them and pick up the win.

This are my selections. Not chosen because I have a particularly good knowledge of all the teams, I'm just going with my gut which is the best way in my opinion. Good luck everybody!


Last edited by thegeek on Fri Aug 17, 2012 7:37 pm; edited 1 time in total
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welshie1
At Stud


Joined: 30 Aug 2007
Posts: 3493


Post Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 7:36 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

you're right pal, my mistake I've got Macclesfield to beat Dartford. It's more about Newport though, they are playing well as I've said and Lincoln did lose midweek.
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baw buster
2yo


Joined: 16 Aug 2012
Posts: 1


Post Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 7:36 pm     Post subject: football Reply with quote

hi lads im new here my first post ,rangers v east stirling ,rangers i think will take at least 5 goals off the whipping boys of leaugue 3 ,east stirling are really bad with rangers first leaugue game at home to a sell out crowd ,im going for minus 1 goal the first half at 11/8 great odds from williamhill ,good luck everyone
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addpea
Classic Winner


Joined: 27 Nov 2009
Posts: 757


Post Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 11:11 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Seen someone mention to back Truro on the Friday thread because they will only have 12 or 13 players going to Billericay tomorrow. Whilst this is true I am avoiding the game becuase Billericay have an injury crisis of their own and were shocking in their last pre-season friendly. It is also worth remembering that Truro travelled a few times last season with 12 or 13 players and actually didnt do that badly. Id have loved to have taken on both sides tomorrow and for that reason I just cant have a bet in the game. Im not saying Billericay wont win, but I certainly wouldnt go lumping on them just because of the Truro news.
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