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Dammo Qwirky
Stallion


Joined: 28 Oct 2004
Posts: 7974


Post Posted: Fri Aug 03, 2012 12:01 pm     Post subject: Premier League Points Reply with quote

Spread of premier league points out now. In case you don't know how spreads work, you can sell at the first figure (if u think the team will score less than that) or buy at the second figure (if you think the team will score more). Where do you guys see the strongest value here?

Manchester City 82.5 84
Manchester United 79 80.5
Chelsea 74.5 76
Arsenal 67.5 69
Tottenham 65 66.5
Liverpool 64 65.5
Newcastle 54 55.5
Everton 52.5 54
Sunderland 46.5 48
Fulham 45.5 47
Stoke 44.5 46
Aston Villa 43 44.5
QPR 42.5 44
West Brom 41 42.5
West Ham 39.5 41
Swansea 39 40.5
Wigan 37 38.5
Southampton 36 37.5
Norwich 36 37.5
Reading 35 36.5
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Online Trader
Stallion


Joined: 27 Oct 2007
Posts: 9294
Location: Leicestershire

Post Posted: Fri Aug 03, 2012 12:12 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

This is going to be a Blog for me this season as I attempt to trade it, I have already highlighted some potential Buys and Sells

http://www.olbg.com/forum/topic31_41541.html
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UnderdogsLover
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Joined: 03 Feb 2010
Posts: 3130
Location: New home now. Spring here at last.

Post Posted: Fri Aug 03, 2012 12:12 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Dammo

Very interesting, spread betting, the three teams
i think do well..

Arsenal: Will get more than 69 points.
With their new strike force..

Chelsea Will get more then 76 points Fingers Crossed , as their new
players when settled in will go close this year. Yes Of breaking
up the Manchester challenges.

Norwich will get more than 37.5 points, got a promising young
manager Chris Hughton so they get the magic 40 points. Fingers Crossed

Thats my trebble acc, as those the teams i follow.
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Online Trader
Stallion


Joined: 27 Oct 2007
Posts: 9294
Location: Leicestershire

Post Posted: Sat Aug 04, 2012 12:34 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

What are your thoughts Dammo Confused
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Micko70
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Read My Blog!

Joined: 20 Feb 2009
Posts: 3048
Location: County Durham

Post Posted: Sat Aug 04, 2012 12:46 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Cheers Dammo

Man Utd look like a decent buy for me
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Online Trader
Stallion


Joined: 27 Oct 2007
Posts: 9294
Location: Leicestershire

Post Posted: Sat Aug 04, 2012 1:04 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

I think you are right there Micko, the traders obviously see Chelsea being closer to the top 2 this season, Arsenal finished 3rd last season 19 points behind City and Utd and that is why both City and Utd's buy prices are quite a bot lower than where they finished last season.
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Dammo Qwirky
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Post Posted: Sat Aug 04, 2012 8:06 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

havent ventured in yet but teams i think should exceed these points are

newcastle (buy in sept after tough start)
fulham (prob look to buy at start of sept)
villa
qpr (might be best to wait til oct to buy their points)
norwich
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Online Trader
Stallion


Joined: 27 Oct 2007
Posts: 9294
Location: Leicestershire

Post Posted: Sun Aug 05, 2012 6:03 am     Post subject: Reply with quote

So it looks as though people are going to be buyers rather than sellers, what do people think about Liverpool's price, I have talked about it in my Blog and think it looks a good SELL as I do not see a huge improvement coming from last season yet their price says the opposite Confused

Last edited by Online Trader on Sun Aug 05, 2012 7:58 am; edited 1 time in total
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Micko70
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Joined: 20 Feb 2009
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Location: County Durham

Post Posted: Sun Aug 05, 2012 7:28 am     Post subject: Reply with quote

OT

I cannot see Liverpool beating Newcastle by 10 points this season, they probably will improve from last season but i cannot see them improving that much.

It depends how they start of course, away to West Brom & Sunderland and at home to Man City, Arsenal & Man Utd could see them in the bottom 3 if the results go wrong for them
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Liverpool1985
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Joined: 14 Sep 2008
Posts: 4870
Location: England

Post Posted: Sun Aug 05, 2012 10:02 am     Post subject: Reply with quote

At those prices Dammo the two I may decide to play are:

Buy QPR
Sell Fulham

Obviously there is still a little bit of time for Clubs to sort things out yet but I actually think Fulham could be in a bit of danger this year. Lost some key players and you never know how replacements are going to perform. While QPR are now looking a relatively strong squad, with some depth. And they could be in for a good season.
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jaydubs
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Joined: 09 Mar 2008
Posts: 4460


Post Posted: Sun Aug 05, 2012 10:21 am     Post subject: Reply with quote

I can see Southampton going quite well actually and would be a buy.
Swansea have lost their manager and everyday I see more and more of their players linked elsewhere....They will be going down this year.
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Online Trader
Stallion


Joined: 27 Oct 2007
Posts: 9294
Location: Leicestershire

Post Posted: Sun Aug 05, 2012 11:47 am     Post subject: Reply with quote

I think as highlighted in my Blog and by Dammo, the key thing here is the timing of your Buy/Sell, look at the fixtures blocks of 4 or 5) and take a view on how well or badly the team is likely to do and buy/sell accordingly Wink
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