Friday 13th April - Selections & Chat

KanKeano

Friday the 13th.......Stay lucky Fingers Crossed

Please post any selections for today's games in here.
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KanKeano · Posted: Fri Apr 13, 2012 8:28 am Post subject:

blakblakan wrote:

365pvfc · Posted: Fri Apr 13, 2012 9:00 am Post subject:

Dutch Jupiler League - Dordrecht vs Den Bosch (7pm)

Quite surprised by the prices for this game. Dordrecht's form at home is standout, only losing once which was a 2-1 narrow defeat to the top side Zwolle. They have won 10 of their 15 home games to date. This is a game they need to pick up points from as they are currently 5 points off the playoff region. Den Bosch have decent away form reading 7-4-4, but have hit a sticky patch on the road not winning in 4, including 3 losses, since their away win at lowly Emmen. These two teams are right next to each other in the current form table, both picking up 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 games. I don't see much between these sides and I think the home side, with their "fortress" home form, are the value here.

Dordrecht Win @ 2/1 Stan James

TheGibser · Handicapper Joined: 15 Sep 2010 Posts: 11

Hi Guys this is my first time posting on here, I decided Friday the 13th was as good a day as any to break my duck.

I have 3 selections today – I will be putting them in a cheeky little treble
Stuttgart v Werder Bremen - Both teams have a lot to play for in this match, Stuttgart are in 5th place and can move closer to consolidating a Europa League spot with a win at home this evening, Werder Bremen are in 8th place and a win this evening will see them jump possibly temporarily into the Europa League spots. What is making me side with Stuttgart this evening is their home form in the Bundesliga since February they have, played 5 – won 4 and drawn 1, scoring 14 goals and conceding just 2 in the process. Bremen have also played 5 games since February and have won 1, drew 2 and lost 2. Their losses have come against table topers Borrusia Dortmund and second from bottom Hertha Berlin, they have drawn against Frielburg and FC Klon, both in the bottom half of the table, their one win away since February was against Hamburg who have a shocking home record. I think an in form Stuttgart will have too much in attack for Werder Bremen this evening.
Stuttgart – 5/6 Paddy Power

Greather Furth v St Pauli – 1st v 4th in the 2. Bundesliga – October 2011 was the last time Greather Furth dropped a point at home, since then they have played 8 games at home and won every one scoring 30 goals and conceding just 3. St Pauli have dropped points against some of the weaker teams in the 2.Bundesliga this season losing to bottom club Alemannia Aachen in February and drawing against 2nd from bottom FSV Frankfurt last time out. I just think Greather Furth’s imperious home form will be too much for St Pauli this evening
Greather Furth – 4/6 Paddy Power

Clermont v Angers – 4th v 14th in the French Second Division – Clermont are still in with a shout of reaching the play offs and if they win tonight and results go their way they will be back in the top 4, Clermont have not lost at home this year but they have only won twice drawing 4 of their 6 matches in 2012, however their opponants this evening Angers are terrible away from home losing 6 and drawing 2 in 2012. I think Clermont will have much more to play for this evening and am going for them to win.
Clermont – 19/20 Paddy Power

A treble here pays just under 5/1

I will also be doing a couple of goal scoring bets this evening
Anytime Goal Scorer Double
Ricky Lambert (Southampton) 13/10 – the man is on fire this season with 27 league goals
Harnik (Stuttgard) 7/5 – Stuttgards top scorer had a lean spell in front of goal in March but scored last time out will keep it going tonight

Cheeky Fiver Bet
Ricky Lambert (Southampton) to score 2 or more goals 8/1 – he can do it
Yes

markvighan · Handicapper Joined: 01 Mar 2012 Posts: 15

Not that much to choose between the sides in the table, but gulf in recent form with Stuttgart clearly playing the better football.

Stuttgart have won 7 and draw 2 of their last 10 games. Their sole defeat came away to Hannover (2-4). They have been scoring for fun in the league and playing irresitable entertaining football. They hit the net 29 times in thier last ten games! They;ve lost just four of their last 15 games whilst Bremen have won just 3 from the same tally away from home.

In thier last 15 games at home, Stuttgart have scored 29 and conceded 14; whereas Werder Bremen have scored just 16 and leaked 28.

Bremen have only won two of their last ten games home and away - drawing 3. They lose by the odd goal more often than not so Stuttgart may not break them down so easily as recent opponents, but there's no getting away from a home win.

markvighan · Handicapper Joined: 01 Mar 2012 Posts: 15

This is the derby match in Championship - The first -Southampton host the second ranked ,but with same amount of points -team of Reading .
Four round before end of turnament ,this sides already have one foot in Premier - they occupied first two places ,which gives direct promotion and the closest team to him -West Ham are 6pts off .If some of this teams take win this almoust 100% will guarantee them promotion ,but probably the best scenarion for both sides will be to take by 1pt each one and to try keep position in next 3 rounds .
In reverse fixture in Reading ,the game finished 1-1 ,and I don't want to go in some deep analysys here : This is unpredictable match as both sides are with close like potential squads ...but for me looks pretty possible at least First half to ended Draw.
Source: BBC, SAINTS

Sharma1989 · Handicapper Joined: 13 Apr 2012 Posts: 15

Yes kankeano stuttgart looks like the bet of the day with them banging Augsburg away 3-1 recently. They also got a draw at Dortmund so I think they are more than capable of beating weirder Bremen tonight. Werder drew with mochengladbach on Tuesday and only had 36% possession at home and I think Stuttgart are going to win this one with one eye closed.The last time Stuttgart played at home was against mainz who are a decent team which Stuttgart won 4-1 and so they are playing with a lot of confidence and I don't understand why SkyBet have a Stuttgart win at 4/5 when it should be 2/5 lol.The formguide shows for Stuttgart wwdww and for werder it shows ddldl the most recent to the left. Fingers Crossed

BlueConrad · Group 1 Class Joined: 03 Apr 2011 Posts: 418

READING remaining matches

Home to Nottingham Forest (can Win as opponent is a gap safe from relegation)
Home to Crystal Palace ( can Win as opponent is a gap safe from relegation)
Away to Birmingham (might Draw or may not make it)

SOUTHHAMPTON remaining matches

Away to Middlesbrough - can scrape a win
Away to Peter'B - can WIN
Home to conventry - can WIN

if Southampton do not make use of Home ground advantage tonight, looks like they will be bound for 2nd position

- so i think it will be a battle of survival for READING & SOUTHAMPTON.

bangit · Group 3 Class Joined: 20 Aug 2009 Posts: 57

capable of beating weirder Bremen tonight. Werder drew with mochengladbach on Tuesday and only had 36% possession at home

Yes they did ,but also keep in mind that Bremenhad a man sent off after 27 minutes and actually showed some fight by getting a draw after being down 2-1 with only ten men.
I will go with the over 3 -103 here as I think Stutt will score ,but their D still gives up too many goals.
I do wish you guys the best of luck on Stutt Yes

.

Mar84tin · Posted: Fri Apr 13, 2012 2:59 pm Post subject:

GKS Belchatow - Jagiellonia(5:00pm)

For GKS speaks the balance of direct duels at home to Jagiellonia.
Both teams are measured together in four times in Belchatow.

Two matches ended in victory GKS and the last two fights break points.

It is worth noting, that the last time GKS defeated Jagiellonia in May 2009.

Since then, both teams measured each other in the league five times.

Jagiellonia in Friday's match play seriously impaired.
Of an injury on the pitch runs Tomasz Frankowski, while the card out of action must Tomasz Kupisz.

The staff were also a match for Paweł Nowotka, Merab Gigaurie and Robert Arzumanjan.

The hosts will play without injured Leszek Nowosielski and Maciej Szmatiuk, as well as for a red card - Maciej Wilusz.

Tip:
GKS Win@2,04(Bet365)

GL Fingers Crossed

moneyman · Listed Class Joined: 21 Sep 2010 Posts: 36

any1 any feed back on Monaco 2nite look good odds 7/4

snowdog140 · Listed Class Joined: 08 Apr 2012 Posts: 38

Metz have won just one of their last six, whereas Monaco are unbeaten in six. Neither side have scored too many, so I'd either go for the draw (11/5 @ BetVictor) or Monaco @ 21/10 with Panbet.