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drogerson
At Stud
 
Joined: 17 Jan 2011
Posts: 2905
Location: Wigan, England.
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Posted: Sat Nov 12, 2011 11:56 am Post subject: D. Rogerson's Ratings (NEW)
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So I'm back with a new rating's system.
The last one used various speed figures available to the public, but obviusly ran at a negative LSP due to two "selections each race".
I've taken a month off or so to get this system to where I want it to be, all the figures and information are my own calculations so it's very much changing all the time.
I'm just going to do Cheltenham for today, to see how it goes and we'll take it from there.
My rating is based on an average of LTO Rating, AVG Rating & MAX Rating.
I'll post the top rated horse or two or three if they're close top rated.
If a horse is the highest rated on all three columns it will qualify for a 5pt max bet and I will advise these as bets below.
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D.Rogerson's Ratings
D.Rogerson's Trend System
Last edited by drogerson on Thu Nov 17, 2011 11:08 am; edited 1 time in total |
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broggsy
Group 2 Class
Joined: 10 Jan 2009
Posts: 243
Location: blackburn
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Posted: Sat Nov 12, 2011 11:57 am Post subject:
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welcome back  |
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drogerson
At Stud
Joined: 17 Jan 2011
Posts: 2905
Location: Wigan, England.
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Posted: Sat Nov 12, 2011 12:21 pm Post subject:
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12/11/11
1:20pm Cheltenham
SECRET EDGE
Best of the bunch who have already ran in UK. The two favourites are from France, but this one should be an Each Way player for sure.
1:55pm Cheltenham
HENNESSY 
Capable at this distance and should have blown the cobwebs away last month. Well treated.
2:35pm Cheltenham
OISEA DE NUIT
ARALDUR
MON PARRAIN
These three come well clear of the field in ratings, and would suggest at these prices either dutching them or :
Oiseau De Nuit 0.5pt PLACE @ 7.4/1
Araldur 0.5pt E/W @ 19/1
Mon Parrain 2pt WIN @ 5/1
3:10pm Cheltenham
ROSSMORE LAD
Big step up in class, but is off a low weight with the claimer and should go well now jumping better
3:40pm Cheltenham
HIGH BIRD HUMPHREY
EDGARDO SOL 
High Bird Humphrey is lightly raced for a 12 year old, and may have just a little bit left off this mark. Edgardo Sol is ultra consistent and will be dangerous here.
4:10pm Cheltenham
RESTLESS HARRY
Stormed clear in his last hurdles appearance, and off those ratings only needs to jump clear to win. Should go well.
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D.Rogerson's Trend System |
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drogerson
At Stud
Joined: 17 Jan 2011
Posts: 2905
Location: Wigan, England.
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Posted: Mon Nov 14, 2011 3:09 pm Post subject:
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Apologies for the lateness 
14/11/11
Leicester
1:20pm - CHRISTOPHER WREN 1st @ 4/11
1:50pm - GALLOPING QUEEN 2nd @ 1/2
2:20pm - Hartforth
2:50pm - Rory Boy 2nd @ 8/1
3:20pm - Phoenix Eye
3:50pm - Doyenne Dream
Plumpton
1:00pm - Aikideau 2nd @ 4/7
1:30pm - Notus De La Tour 1st @ 4/9
2:00pm - Capisci
2:30pm - Majy D'Auteuil
3:00pm - Owner Occupier
3:30pm - El Diego, Shernaz 1st @ 11/8, 2nd @ 3/1
4:00pm - Cavite Gamma
Wolverhampton
2:10pm - True Satire
2:40pm - Vitznau
3:10pm - Sand Skier 2nd @ 3/1
3:40pm - Let Your Love Flow, Captain Cardington 1st @ 11/4
4:10pm - Strikemaster
4:40pm - Methaaly
5:10pm - Bahamian Lad 1st @ 20/1
Bets:
1:50pm Leicester - GALLOPING QUEEN
1:00pm Plumpton - AKIDEAU
1:30pm Plumpton - NOTUS DE LA TOUR
3:00pm Plumpton - OWNER OCCUPIER
4:00pm Plumpton - CAVITE GAMMA
2:10pm Wolverhampton - TRUE SATIRE
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D.Rogerson's Trend System |
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drogerson
At Stud
Joined: 17 Jan 2011
Posts: 2905
Location: Wigan, England.
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Posted: Tue Nov 15, 2011 11:36 am Post subject:
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Has a few 2nd and 3rd top rated run well off these, so I'm going to post the top 2 or 3 horses.
15/11/11
1:10pm Fakenham
114.724 - POBS TROPHY
111.388 - MANGONEL 1st @ 85/40
1:40pm Fakenham
116.010 - BAY CENTRAL
110.864 - ORPEN WIDE
2:10pm Fakenham
127.014 - SO IS SHE 1st @ 3/1
126.822 - HOPE POINT 2nd @ 9/4
2:40pm Fakenham
138.073 - HELPSTON 1st @ 11/4
134.040 - BOTTMAN
3:10pm Fakenham
144.405 - LEOPOLD
127.348 - GRENOLI
3:40pm Fakenham
114.863 - REALISATION
110.738 - WHITE DIAMOND 1st @ 7/2
1:00pm Folkestone
139.788 - HIGH SAMANA 1st @ 10/11
132.142 - DIVINE RULE
1:30pm Folkestone
126.496 - FRECKLE FACE - NR
120.993 - CAULFIELDS VENTURE
2:00pm Folkestone
131.817 - BEAR'S AFFAIR
123.332 - CANNI THINKAR
2:30pm Folkestone
118.73 - EDGEFOUR
113.299 - OSMOSIA 2nd @ 4/1
113.060 - SET IN HER WAYS
3:00pm Folkestone
124.405 - THE DARLING BOY 1st @ 4/1
126.068 - NOTHINGBUTTHETRUTH
3:30pm Folkestone
122.043 - RUN TO FLY 1st @ 4/5
110.731 - ABSOLUTE SHAMBLES
4:00pm Folkestone
95.087 - PRINCESSE KATIE
95.041 - BOLLIN TAHINI 2nd @ 7/1
12:20pm Southwell
95.975 - LETHAL
88.709 - BONNIE PRINCE BLUE
85.813 - FAIR BUNNY
12:50pm Southwell
93.139 - MEMPHIS MAN
91.990 - ELHAMRI 1st @ 15/2
90.663 - GRACIE's GIFT 3rd @ 16/1
1;20pm Southwell
77.413 - BOUNTIFUL CATCH
70.350 - MOUNT MCLEOD 2nd @ 7/2
67.080 - MAKE UP
1:50pm Southwell
84.123 - Dora's Gift 3rd @ 9/4
79.896 - Shot In The Dark
2:20pm Southwell
77.479 - JACI UZZI
75.247 - CAN DO LESS
2:50pm Southwell
90.690 - CHARLIE COOL
85.993 - DEAR MAURICE
80.051 - SPIN A WISH
3:20pm Southwell
95.535 - BOLODENKA
87.232 - WITCHRY 3rd @ 20/1
87.127 - COUNCELLOR
3:50pm Southwell
80.398 - VALDAN
80.091 - HARARE
76.608 - APPLAUDE
BETS:
3:40pm Fakenham - REALISATION 3rd @ 10/3
1:00pm Folkestone - HIGH SAMANA 1st @ 10/11
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D.Rogerson's Ratings
D.Rogerson's Trend System |
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drogerson
At Stud
Joined: 17 Jan 2011
Posts: 2905
Location: Wigan, England.
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MARYKEATING
Triple Crown Winner
Joined: 15 Sep 2009
Posts: 1557
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Posted: Tue Nov 15, 2011 5:23 pm Post subject:
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Great to have these ratings posted as a reference point drogerson. I picked The Darling Boy today but could'nt take that final step and back it. Sometimes I need someone to give me a push over the line  Best of Luck with this Blog - I just have to remember to have a nosey in here daily  |
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drogerson
At Stud
Joined: 17 Jan 2011
Posts: 2905
Location: Wigan, England.
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Posted: Wed Nov 16, 2011 9:54 am Post subject:
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16/11/11
12:55pm Fairyhouse
137.860 - HIGH DESTINY
129.714 - NEIGBOURLY
127.321 - LEROY PARKER 1st @ 2/1
1:25pm Fairyhouse
148.286 - ORGANISED CONFUSION
126.878 - DER SPIELER
1:55pm Fairyhouse
125.025 - CEOL RUA 1st @ 8/11
120.514 - TARALGA
120.052 - THE ETHIOPIAN 2nd @ 8/1
2:25pm Fairyhouse
135.944 - GIVE US A HAND 2nd @ 3/1
130.851 - BAY OF KOTOR
127.961 - ON THE LOOSE
127.452 - STRONG EURO
2:55pm Fairyhouse
128.519 - SOUS LES CIEUX 1st @ 3/10
119.838 - ROURKE'S CROSS 2nd @ 9/2
118.587 - SURE THYNE
3:25pm Fairyhouse
142.759 - ASKMEROE
140.790 - HAROLD'S CROSS 1st @ 9/4
127.582 - MOSMAN PARK
3:55pm Fairyhouse
106.905 - CELTIC CAILIN
104.399 - ARE YA RIGHT CHIEF 1st @ 4/1
1:10pm Hexham
151.688 - PENA DORADA
129.593 - PEGASUS PRINCE
1:40pm Hexham
111.877 - PINEROLO 2nd @ 6/1
106.682 - BURY PARADE 1st @ 10/3
2:10pm Hexham
112.301 - PAPAMOA 2nd @ 5/1
107.022 - TREEHOUSE
102.154 - SAMMYSPIDERMAN
2:40pm Hexham
139.301 - SEEKING POWER
127.076 - MATMATA DE TENDRON
125.819 - BEAR DANCING
3:10pm Hexham
134.863 - JUSTTHEONEFORYOU
131.911 - STUFF OF DREAMS
128.402 - WHY ARE YOU ASKING 3rd @ 28/1
3:40pm Hexham
137.848 - TARANTELLA LADY 2nd @ 11/4
134.685 - PHILHARMONIC HALL 1st @ 1/1
4:10pm Kempton
84.600 - ELFINE
81.607 - ROMAN FLAME
4:40pm Kempton
96.706 - ROCKET ROB
90.180 - CREW CUT
89.268 - WELSH INLET
5:10pm Kempton
89.775 - CANADIAN DANEHILL
81.454 - REPLICATOR
81.381 - YUNGABURRA
5:40pm Kempton
99.598 - FOXHAVEN
87.676 - SCAMPERDALE
6:10pm Kempton
81.006 - SAABOOG
79.274 - GALICAN
79.163 - PANETTONE
6:40pm Kempton
70.262 - LADY HEARTBEAT
68.780 - DICKENS RULES
66.589 - CHRISSYCROSS
7:10pm Kempton
111.813 - KAKTOSI
109.745 - CITRUS STAR
105.524 - THUNDERBALL
12:10pm Linfield
81.235 - LE KING BEAU 1st @ 3/1
72.885 - LIQUID SUNSHINE
12:50pm Lingfield
74.239 - NICHOLASCOPERNICUS
71.072 - BETTY BROOK
1:20pm Lingfield
89.719 - WHINGING WILLIE
85.846 - REALLY LOVELY
82.633 - EMMUSKA 1st @ 9/2
1:50pm Lingfield
105.969 - RESPLENDENT ALPHA
99.737 - GALLANTRY 1st @ 7/2
86.656 - HEADING TO FIRST
2:20pm Lingfield
108.326 - JUDD STREET
102.025 - SMOKY CLOUD
95.120 - REGENERATION
2:50pm Lingfield
106.088 - EVERYMANFORHIMSELF
101.186 - NOVELLEN LAD 2nd @ 16/1
94.676 - SHOWBOATING
3:20pm Lingfield
93.908 - HEATHERBIRD 1st @ 9/2
86.463 - SHIELDMAIDEN 2nd @ 1/1
3:50pm Lingfield
81.774 - BAAN 1st @ 10/1
72.716 - MUSTAJED
66.843 - LACONICOS 2nd @ 6/1
BETS:
12:50pm Lingfield - NICHOLASCOPERNICUS LOST
1:10pm Hexham - PENA DORADA LOST
3:50pm Lingfield - BAAN WON @ 10/1
4:40pm Kempton - ROCKET ROB
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D.Rogerson's Ratings
D.Rogerson's Trend System
Last edited by drogerson on Wed Nov 16, 2011 4:46 pm; edited 4 times in total |
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drogerson
At Stud
Joined: 17 Jan 2011
Posts: 2905
Location: Wigan, England.
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Posted: Wed Nov 16, 2011 1:05 pm Post subject:
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Appear to have forgotten to list Warwick.
1:00pm Warwick
122.974 - GASPARI
118.536 - SASSANIAN
118.513 - UFFA FOX
1:30pm Warwick
138.214 - JACKO'S BOY
124.885 - QUINCY DES PICTONS
123.539 - LOCH BA 2nd @ 11/4
2:00pm Warwick
136.501 - NICKS POWER
115.641 - DIRTY BERTIE
110.586 - MAJORICA KING 2nd @ 4/1
2:30pm Warwick
157.598 - TONIC MELLYSSE
150.898 - TATISPOUT 1st @ 5/1
3:00pm Warwick
112.211 - TOUJOURS L'ATTAQUE
95.495 - HINDON ROAD
87.312 - LEATH ACRA MOR
3:30pm Warwick
138.847 - HEVER ROAD 1st @ 9/2
104.744 - MAC HELEN
103.699 - SOME SECRET
4:00pm Warwick
90.867 - STAIGUE FORT
87.360 - SCOTSBROOK LEGEND
62.56 - STAR BELUCKY
BETS:
2:30pm Warwick - TONIC MELLYSSE LOST (fell)
3:30pm Warwick - HEVER ROAD WON @ 9/2
If anyone has any queries or suggestions about how I can improve what I'm posting, or anything else they'd like to see just let me know and I'll see what I can do.
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D.Rogerson's Trend System |
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drogerson
At Stud
Joined: 17 Jan 2011
Posts: 2905
Location: Wigan, England.
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Posted: Thu Nov 17, 2011 11:37 am Post subject:
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17/11/11
12:55pm Hereford - BAZART (9/4) LOST
1:30pm Hereford - CAPTAIN LOUI (4/1) 3rd
12:45pm Market Rasen - KINGS LODGE 1st
1:50pm Market Rasen - MCMURROUGH (8/1) LOST
1:40pm Wincanton - HOW'S BUSINESS (15/8) 1st
2:10pm Wincanton - ROMULUS D'ARTAIX (2/1) 3rd
1:45pm Thurles - TRIFOLIUM (2/1) 3rd
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drogerson
At Stud
Joined: 17 Jan 2011
Posts: 2905
Location: Wigan, England.
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drogerson
At Stud
Joined: 17 Jan 2011
Posts: 2905
Location: Wigan, England.
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Posted: Thu Nov 17, 2011 6:18 pm Post subject:
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18/11/11
1:00pm Ascot - SIMONSIG (1/4) 1st
1:35pm Ascot - SOLIX (11/10) 1st
2:10pm Ascot - TINDARO (4/1) Lost
2:30pm Haydock - MOLOTOF (4/5) 1st
2:20pm Kempton - NINI OK (10/3) 1st
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D.Rogerson's Trend System
Last edited by drogerson on Fri Nov 18, 2011 2:44 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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