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SmoggyFever
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Posted: Thu Jul 02, 2009 4:59 pm Post subject: MLB 2/7/09
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Just a feeling atm but was thinking chicago cubs later 
I may just leave the action tonight but that is what i have my eye on |
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SmoggyFever
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Posted: Thu Jul 02, 2009 7:28 pm Post subject:
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Orioles @ LA Angels
Straight away i think this is a fair price. Guthrie and Lackey look similar in stats but with the AL bats firing for the Angels, i see them gaining a win tonight. At home, the angels are solid yet on the road, the orioles are horrid, just 11 wins from 23. LA are shockingly 0-5 in Lackey\'s last 5 starts and i think that he will reverse the trend against a team hitting poorly until Boston showed up. Angels are 6-2 in their last 8 overall. Orioles are 4-10 in Guthries last 14 starts
Angels @ 13/20  |
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Stallion
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Posted: Thu Jul 02, 2009 9:50 pm Post subject:
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Mariners @ Yankees
Yankees -1.5 @ 1.74
Cant bring myself to back the Yankees on the terrible money line price of 1.33, but at 1.74 on the run line I think they're worthy of a small bet.
Sabathia starts for the Yankees and he was awesome against the Mets, allowing just 1 run over 7 innings. Vargas starts for the Mariners and is 1-3 on the road this year and is struggling...
The stats below are from cover.com and look to support a heavy win for the Yankees..
# Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
# Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
# Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
# Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
# Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
# Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
# Mariners are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.
# Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
# Mariners are 5-21 in their last 26 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.
# Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
# Mariners are 1-4 in Vargas' last 5 road starts.
# Mariners are 1-4 in Vargas' last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Yankees have won 7 straight and Mariners lost 2 on the bounce, opposite form and opposite confidence should result in a victory for the home side.
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Theo Walcott will score at least 20 in all competitions this season.
Michelle Larcher de Brito - World Number One 2012 (c)2008
2010 #2 LSP Football Blogger
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SmoggyFever
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Posted: Thu Jul 02, 2009 10:09 pm Post subject:
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| I really don't want to jinx it but it looks a nailed on win, exactly the reason why i am so uncomfortable betting it lol. |
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Stallion
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Posted: Thu Jul 02, 2009 10:19 pm Post subject:
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I had exactly the same thought lol. Its "too obvious" but then if I didnt take and they stormed home 10-0 I'd be pretty annoyed so its worth the shot. Certainly wouldnt take the straight up odds though, they're terrible!!
_________________
Theo Walcott will score at least 20 in all competitions this season.
Michelle Larcher de Brito - World Number One 2012 (c)2008
2010 #2 LSP Football Blogger
2010 Last 6 months #1 LSP Tennis blogger |
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Stallion
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Posted: Fri Jul 03, 2009 12:09 am Post subject:
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Not exactly been the best of starts, 3-0 down in the 2nd, 3 runs off 4 hits so far for the Mariners 
_________________
Theo Walcott will score at least 20 in all competitions this season.
Michelle Larcher de Brito - World Number One 2012 (c)2008
2010 #2 LSP Football Blogger
2010 Last 6 months #1 LSP Tennis blogger |
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SmoggyFever
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Posted: Fri Jul 03, 2009 5:31 am Post subject:
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Just woke up to look at the scores, wow 
How the hell did seattle win |
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Stallion
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Posted: Fri Jul 03, 2009 10:16 am Post subject:
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I've no idea, I figured the only way the bet would go down is a 1 run win for the Yankees, couldnt see a Seattle win from anywhere
Well done on the Angels though
_________________
Theo Walcott will score at least 20 in all competitions this season.
Michelle Larcher de Brito - World Number One 2012 (c)2008
2010 #2 LSP Football Blogger
2010 Last 6 months #1 LSP Tennis blogger |
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SmoggyFever
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Posted: Fri Jul 03, 2009 11:37 am Post subject:
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| Cheers BK, i was nipping before the game had started, as soon as i bet it i thought..... uh oh, trap. Luckily it was easy in the end |
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Stallion
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Posted: Fri Jul 03, 2009 12:01 pm Post subject:
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Looked at them myself but had no faith in the pitcher, so took the "safe" Yankees instead 
_________________
Theo Walcott will score at least 20 in all competitions this season.
Michelle Larcher de Brito - World Number One 2012 (c)2008
2010 #2 LSP Football Blogger
2010 Last 6 months #1 LSP Tennis blogger |
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