Joined: 04 Jun 2008
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Posted: Mon Dec 05, 2011 2:46 pm Post subject:
Firstly, a baffling decision by Garrett, you could see Jerry Jones in the stands fuming.
There are no excuses for that, and Romo - don't get me started: a big completion gets the team to the 32 yard line with 24 seconds and two timeouts left, and they run the clock down instead of pounding the ball another 10 yards
Dan Bailey is good, but give the guy a chance... (Btw, that is definitely going to be on ESPN's MNF 'C'Mon Man' segment, that is hilarious)
Utterly shocked at how bad that organisation can be from top to bottom.
Onto tonight, and i just cannot see how this game goes over.
The Jags do not give up passing yards, and the jags on the other side cannot score, so even at 39, i see this going under - around the 17-14 mark, couldn't pick a winner though.
Keep an eye on special teams, the Chargers are dead last in punt coverage in the league so the Jags will probably win it on punts and kick off returns alone
Joined: 01 Jan 2010
Posts: 719
Location: Kilmarnock, soon to be Texas USA
Posted: Mon Dec 05, 2011 5:59 pm Post subject:
CHARGERS @ JAGUARS
San Diego aren't living up to their name. They're mincing one-step forward three-steps back instead of charging. Just what do you make of a team who for the last two and a half seasons have statistically had one of the "best" offenses, but don't win very often?
Fortunately for tonight, they still seem to have just enough of a reputation with the layers to keep them as favourites on the road to the Jaguars. So, a team that is 4-7, and hasn't beaten a team with a winning record, is favourite on the road to beat the team with the 4th ranked defense?
Results don't lie, and although stats can be made to give suitable conclusions, here's why I'll be backing the Jaguars tonight:
San Diego's four victories
They beat the Vikings first up (who are now 2-9)
They beat Kansas City in week 3 (who were 0-2 at the time, and who are now 4-7)
They beat Miami in week 4 (who were terrible and 0-3 at that time)
They beat Denver in week 5 (1-3 at that time, before the Tebow revolution took place)
(So of all four victories, only one team had actually won a game [I know the Vikings was in week 1]...)
QB Rivers dismal record - 61% completion rate, worst in the NFL for throwing interceptions (17), sacked 28 times.
Jaguars defense
They've allowed on average only 18.2pts per game, bettered only by Pittsburgh, Baltimore, San Francisco, and Houston - all teams with winning records.
They have held teams with winning records to low scores: Tennessee 14pts (won the game 16-14), New Orleans 23pts (lost 10-23), Pittsburgh 17pts (lost 13-17), Baltimore 7pts (won 12-7), Houston 20pts (lost 13-20). Those two victories came at home.
Defense alone isn't enough to win a game, obviously, but when you keep your opponents from scoring it clearly gives you a better chance to win. The Jaguars offense is better on the ground than through the air, but they score almost equally (5 rushing TDs, 6 passing TDs) The Chargers are a lowly 26th in defense against the run, so Jacksonville should be able to move the ball.
Chargers' QB Rivers has had more than enough chances this year to show he can improve but it hasn't happened. They have a tendency to play up or down to their opponent's level. For example they scored 38pts in a 7pt defeat to Green Bay, yet scored only 17pts the following week in a 7pt loss at home to Oakland, and last week only 13pts when losing by 3pts at home to Denver. The performance against the Packers looks good on paper but Green Bay almost happily give up points, and in that game they were comfortably ahead halfway through the final quarter before two quick scores by the Chargers made it interesting. Besides, the Chargers two dismal efforts after that show them in the correct light. They have now lost six in a row, and there's no indication at all that the situation is going to improve.
There is a touch of risk to the bet on Jacksonville because they are a low-scoring outfit, but their performances against Baltimore, Tennessee, and Pittsburgh were no flukes. Just their normal defensive display here will give them an excellent chance to win. The handicap is also a bonus.
JAX to win 6/4 general
JAX +3 21/20 Boyles
Under 39.5pts 10/11 general
San Diego under 21.5pts 10/11 general _________________ ----
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Joined: 25 Sep 2009
Posts: 1913
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Posted: Mon Dec 05, 2011 7:55 pm Post subject:
Quote:
Firstly, a baffling decision by Garrett, you could see Jerry Jones in the stands fuming.
There are no excuses for that, and Romo - don't get me started: a big completion gets the team to the 32 yard line with 24 seconds and two timeouts left, and they run the clock down instead of pounding the ball another 10 yards
Dan Bailey is good, but give the guy a chance... (Btw, that is definitely going to be on ESPN's MNF 'C'Mon Man' segment, that is hilarious)
Utterly shocked at how bad that organisation can be from top to bottom.
With you all the way Smoggy there. I was on Dallas and was confident they were going to take the ball in with so much time and 2 Timeouts. Absolutely baffling decisions and icing the kicker was deplorable! I always seem to jinx them! Thing is though they should never have been in that position. They were so washy all through the game and threw too many points away early doors. Should never have been needing that final drive. It's the defence I felt sorry for because I thought they were immense last night! _________________ 31 out of 33 Profitable Months Since Joining in September 2009
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Wow! Wow! what a game!!!best one all season. A Rogers is a Beast,0.58 secs left to win game,4 completed passes later and he does it got to feel for Manning,(silly Penalties cost them+ manager making some bad challenges,ending up with no reviews for almost 2 quarters)he did all he could do, just come against an elite QB.
With a new Coach & owner at Jags,the players will want to catch the coach's eye. Can't see how the Chargers defence will protect Rivers,with Jags having a first timer QB,I look for Maurice Jones-Drew to have loads of rushing yards,his 2nd in league. was gona go for Gates@8/1 to have first TD but the MNF crew have just confirmed his carrying an injury.will go for Maurice Jones -Drew to score first TD@4/1
Joined: 01 Jan 2010
Posts: 719
Location: Kilmarnock, soon to be Texas USA
Posted: Tue Dec 06, 2011 10:39 am Post subject:
Chargers win easy.
Ouch, that was a painful one. Rivers chooses this one to have an almost perfect game... _________________ ----
The NFL Brains Trust
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Joined: 01 Jan 2010
Posts: 719
Location: Kilmarnock, soon to be Texas USA
Posted: Tue Dec 06, 2011 10:43 am Post subject:
The week started too well, with a good bet on Seattle, then went downhill rapidly after that
Just going to lie down in a darkened room for a while... see you guys later _________________ ----
The NFL Brains Trust
Runner-Up Inaugural OLBG Forum NFL Fantasy League
--Remember - the only guarantee in betting is that you'll bet losers. Be disciplined.
Agree with smoggy and chip about the cowboys, what was garret thinkin? The defence has carried them most of season, that was our real chance to take control of division, would hav been 2 clear with 4 to play, now we hav got the giants twice and eagles in last 4 games I fear it could be all over, just cant see us beatin the giants.
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Thing is though they should never have been in that position. They were so washy all through the game and threw too many points away early doors. Should never have been needing that final drive. It's the defence I felt sorry for because I thought they were immense last night!
