Brains Trust - NFL week 13

[Chipmonkadidooda]

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns

Baltimore Ravens @ 1.31

You take your life in your hands when you take the Ravens this season. Whilst they're sitting atop the division by virtue of their two victories over the Steelers, it's the Steelers in the division that lokk by far the better team at the moment. They've actually beaten the better outifts that have come up against them and been beaten by the poorer ones. It's maybe with a hint of trepidation thenthat you take them to beat the Browns. They do like playing the Browns though and lead the series 17-7 which has included six wins in a row against the Browns. Worse than that Cleveland are 3-17 in their past 20 divisional games, including 0-2 this season. They've missed Hillis who is now back, but Browns quarterback Colt McCoy will need to seek some form of redemption tonight after being crushed by the Ravens last season. The Ravens won 20-10 last time out and it was McCoy who threw 3 interceptions and finished with a QB rating of 27. Ed Reed will be licking his chops at the prospect as he intercepted two of McCoy’s passes. You have to remember also that the Ravens have the beauty of knowing how the Steelers have done today and that will certainly focus the mind.

McCoy is 0-6 against AFC North opponents.


St Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco 49ers @ 1.12

I am becoming more and more tempted to take the 49ers as the NFC Champions - Yes I know that sounds crazy with the stellar performances going on week in week out from the cheeseheads, but it's not about how you start, it's how you finish! The 49ers are now realising that promise that was promised last season, where an awful start gave them little chance to progress. They've certainly made up for that this year. For me it's actually down to what changed off the field than what's neccessarily occured on it. Yes Alex Smith is one of the unsung heroes of the NFC and Frank Gore looks as solid as a house with the ball, but the coach has brought about a sea change at Candlestick Park that gives them the belief. Defensively you'd be hard pressed to find a better team in the NFL, let alone the NFC. To compound the Rams problems here tonight news is they will now be without QB Sam Bradford - little hope has now become no hope in all reality.


As a very last line I will resign from the the BT if the Giants win tonight as you've all put me off! Think they'll get closer than you all think tonight!
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After the Colts scoring 24pts against the Pats, expect anything!
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The NFL Brains Trust
Runner-Up Inaugural OLBG Forum NFL Fantasy League
--Remember - the only guarantee in betting is that you'll bet losers. Be disciplined.

[SmoggyFever]

B*stard Colts, thought i had that one in the bag

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Week 13 Summary

With four clear picks, Green bay -6.5pts is this week's MPP (Most Popular Pick), but it ends up close as the Titans to win outright had three picks. There's more spread picks this week as the team see things a bit clearer than last week's tricky fixture list.

MPP
Green Bay Packers -6.5pts 10/11 *LOST*

Outright Picks
Philly Eagles 1.62 *LOST*
Tennessee Titans 2.15 *WON*
Carolina Panthers 11/10 *WON*
Dallas Cowboys 1.49 *LOST*
Atlanta Falcons 1.8 *LOST*
Baltimore Ravens 1.31 *WON*
San Francisco 49rs 1.12 *WON*

Handicap Picks
Philly Eagles -3 1.95 *LOST*
Dallas Cowboys -4 1.9 *LOST*
New England Patriots -20.5pts 10.11 *LOST*
Atlanta Falcons -1.5 1.9 *LOST*
Tennessee Titans +2 1.9 *WON*
Wash Redskins +1 21/20 *LOST*
Baltimore Ravens -7 20/23 *WON*
Buffalo Bills -1 5/6 *LOST*

Prop Bets
Phi/Sea over 4.5 sacks 5/6 *WON*
Hasselbeck over 211.5yds 10/11 *LOST*
Forte over 90.5yds 10/11 *LOST*
R. Bush over 65.5yds 10/11 *WON*
Brady over 300.5yds 17/20 *LOST*
Sanchez over 225.5yds 10/11 *LOST*
A. Smith over 200.5yds 10/11 *WON*
Witten over 60.5yds 5/6 *LOST*
A. Foster over 81.5yds 5/6 *WON*
GB/NYG under 53.5pts 1.9 *LOST*
Oak/Mia under 48pts *LOST*
Colts under 14.5pts 10/11 *LOST*
Giants under 24pts 10/11 *LOST*
_________________
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The NFL Brains Trust
Runner-Up Inaugural OLBG Forum NFL Fantasy League
--Remember - the only guarantee in betting is that you'll bet losers. Be disciplined.

[Chipmonkadidooda]

This is already looking like a very poor week fir the BT. Don't see it in profit this week!
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31 out of 33 Profitable Months Since Joining in September 2009
Take OLBG serious - It Will Make You A Better Bettor!

[SmoggyFever]

Me neither Chip, some really bad beats this week

As soon as the Pats hit the playoffs i am fasing them hard, 24 points against the friggin Colts

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Indeed, it's looking a little grim this week. Won't be any profit this week I reckon, even if the Pack do beat the spread (which they are struggling to do at the moment). Just one of those weeks
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The NFL Brains Trust
Runner-Up Inaugural OLBG Forum NFL Fantasy League
--Remember - the only guarantee in betting is that you'll bet losers. Be disciplined.

[manafana]

a low line i think we could see beaten tonight by home side

B.Gabbert over160.5 yds @2.04 Betfair

not the most prolfiic passer, but we may find some gaps opening and fancy them to do very well.
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[scoobydoo68]

4 out of 13 prop bets won, really? thank goodness prop bets don't interest me.
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[Chipmonkadidooda]

[SmoggyFever]

[manafana]

the gabbert bet came in, i dont know how brady one didnt come in two drives for -7yds passing from home.
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follow me on twitter https://twitter.com/gghofman

visit the cycling thread : http://www.olbg.com/forum/topic4_40193.html

Also Visit my charity cycle blog : http://gghofman.blogspot.com/