tournaments commencing 19-august

jbsouz · Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 7:32 am Post subject: tournaments commencing 19-august

1 pick for ATP WINSTON SALEM:
BLAKE+4.5 GAMES HANDICAP OVER RODDICK @ 1.9 on bet365

In my opinion there is a simply mistake by bookmakers to place Roddick as such a favorite. Pinnacle started with odds of 6.1 on Blake to win this match and now PaddyPower offer 5.0 on Blake. In my opinion there is almost a 50/50 match here.

Taking Blake+4.5games handicap to be on the safe side.

monkeytennis · Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:38 am Post subject:

Interesting call. Any views on the outright? I quite fancied Tomas Berdych but I don't think there is much in it at all so wasn't convinced if 4/1 was value.

juve1992 · Posted: Tue Aug 21, 2012 5:08 am Post subject:

I think Bartoli will win today. Sloan Stephens is not too god to beat her.

jbsouz · Posted: Tue Aug 21, 2012 8:41 am Post subject:

1 pick for ATP WINSTON SALEM:
ISNER-KLIZAN OVER 20.5 GAMES @ 1.7 on Pinnacle

Isner is injured and he missed Cincinnati last week, surely he will not try his very best just 6 days before the US Open. Klizan on the other hand is very talented youg player, has won a lot of matches this year, reaching career high ranking of 50 and has won 4 Challenger events. So, it will not be an easy win for Isner in my opinion.

punteroz · Posted: Tue Aug 21, 2012 9:56 am Post subject: Errani good value?

Errani vs Suarez-Navarro

Errani is now being backed in from 1.34 where I took her to 1.25. Some still have her above 1.30 which is great value imo. H/H in her favour 2/1 and seeded 4th. 13/8 on surface vs 5/8 and also has the better record against common opponents.
Not sure if this is the correct place to post but Errani is my best bet of the day with another good chance being Zheng at odds over 1.50. She has beaten Pironkova previously albeit 6 years back. Surface record is excellent (12/6) and Pirokovas not quite 50/50. 32 rank vs 55 and I believe above 1.50 offers value.

slim6y · Posted: Wed Aug 22, 2012 5:52 am Post subject:

I bombed out on Isotomin this morning, boy did he go down to Darcis... Gutted...

Although Isotomin was my only 'uncertain' bet in a decent multiplier, I didn't expect him to go down so badly!

Anyone else have Isotomin or Darcis?

Really liking the Aussie girl Dellacqua at the moment - not to win, but to upset in opening rounds. She's a great outsider to pick.

Had her earlier in the week for set betting and was quite impressed with how she dispatched Webley-Smith (even though Dellacqua is leagues ahead in the rankings).

Was also happy with Roddick's win, but boy did Blake put a decent show and really played with Roddick's mind! Nice game to watch when I came home for lunch the other day...

jbsouz · Posted: Wed Aug 22, 2012 7:57 am Post subject:

1 pick for ATP WINSTON SALEM:
ISNER-MELZER OVER 22 GAMES @ 1.75 on Pinnacle

Similar reasoning to the yesterday bet on Klizan-isner over. Isner is injured and he missed Cincinnati last week, surely he will not try his very best just 6 days before the US Open. Should not be an easy win for Isner.

punteroz · Posted: Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:42 am Post subject: todays picks

ok...so far so good but this trip is harder.

Schepper at above 1.35 is my call against Granollers. Nothing major in his favor except every box is just tricked his way. I will take the odds.
Now how about Querrey at around 1.50 against Lopez? Querrey is the more consistent on surface and recent form but Lopez has the 'haha I beat you you' advantage...twice. Little in the rankings but Querrey offers the value bet due to current consistent form and a surface preference over Lopez.

punteroz · Posted: Thu Aug 23, 2012 2:33 am Post subject:

Well Granollers didn't have a bar of Schepper and did it pretty easy. Querrey was a good return. I really like Kirilenko @ 1.30 so she will be my main bet of the day with recent form not too shabby. Ok...at a glance lost 4 of last 10 however V.Williams in 3 sets and the other 3 losses were against the world number 1,2 and 3 so some excuses.
My other like is Gimeno-Traver at Segovia against Bossel. Odds of above 1.40 are inviting.

punteroz · Posted: Thu Aug 23, 2012 2:56 am Post subject:

found another that looks very attractive.
Wozniaki @ above 1.40 vs Cibulkova at New Haven. Rankings and seeding suggest a close match however Woz has 7-2 surface advantage and a top 10 player in form. Cibulkova is a bit hit and miss having lost 3 of last 10 matches as starting favourite. Good bet imo.

slim6y · Posted: Thu Aug 23, 2012 4:21 am Post subject:

On the nose with Dellacqua - happiness Smile

punteroz · Posted: Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:22 am Post subject:

Casey is a good Perth girl (where all the best people come from ) Yes