Natasha Promises

5:40 Newmarket

19/05 17:40

Natasha Rostova had been quite impressive in its debut in class 5 and this distance beating by 5 lengths at Wolverhampton in its debut. Today it is going for more and I think it is likely that it fits in this class with success at least a relative one. For the antecedents it has a very good price but retaining the load benefit. The absence of Zania opens more the chances here . Suraj is attractive but triumph in last start was on soft going. Theturnofthesun has landed a similar at Kempton while Cape Safari deserves a look due to is "almost around" performance.

19

Views

0

Lose

Result

100

Profit/Loss

Easy At Vigo

Celta Vigo v Alcoyano

19/05 17:00

Celta de Vigo faces an easy match today against almost relegated Alcoyano. Although chances for winning the trophy are almost gone, Celta has a strong dispute with Valladolid for the second direct promotion place, they are tied with 7 goals favouring the Galicians. So Vigo will not lead Alcoyano take a point.
The latter is 21 of 22 and has lost 13 of 19 games away , Celta has 13 wins of 18 games at home. Alcoyano has lost last 2 by high scores (5 and 3 to 1) and has lost 9 of last 10 since they surprisingly beat Huelva away.

27

Views

0

Win

Result

111

Profit/Loss

Verona For Promotion

Verona v Varese

19/05 17:00

There is a strong fight in these two last rounds coming in Serie B . Verona has secured at least being in playoffs while Varese can fall from that zone. But a triumph will maintain Verona chances to take the runner up place from Pescara.
Hellas Verona has lost only 2 games at home, has drawn 4 and has won 14 converting 31 goals and conceding only 14. Varese is one place below with 6 points less overall. Away Varese has 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats with similar good difference. Indeed Varese has claims but I think location will prevail in these final stages and that gives this bet value.

23

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0

Win

Result

57

Profit/Loss

Bayern Absolutely At Home

Bayern Munich v Chelsea

19/05 19:45

Obviously two big teams in a clash that would be very interesting. I think the balance turns in favour of Bayern by minimal details while the fact that Bayern is playing not only in any place Germany but in their own stadium makes a definitive difference. The best counter weapon for Chelsea to get the Champions League Trophy is, as usual, Czech; the man who can take Chelsea to penalties definition.
Bayern is runner up locally this season Recently they let the German Cup in hands of B.Dortmund but had not had surprise defeats. Instead Chelsea lost with Newcastle resigning any Prem prize and with Liverpool by 4-1 ; also could only put a margin of 1 goal with already relegated Blackburn who found way to score.
Good price.

37

Views

0

Lose

Result

100

Profit/Loss

Reims Win

Reims v Lens

18/05 19:30

Reims is unbeaten in last 6 games home with 2 goals per match average converted and less than 1 conceded. Last 3 had been victories. Reims is 2nd (64 points in 17 games)in the tournament and can not catch the leader with this last match. They need a point to retain the place from Troyes -which has an easy home match with the bottom placed Amiens- but I dont think Reims will limit to the draw.
Lens is placed 14th with 47 points enough to be free from relegation. As a visitor it has only 2 victories, 6 draws and 8 defeats. They have lost to nil last 2 away games.

Something is strange with the odds since this bet and Reims-0.75 AH has the same odds !?

24

Views

0

Lose

Result

200

Profit/Loss

Arabian Star Return

5:05 Newmarket

18/05 17:05

Arabian start is back after a 10 months break. Last year closure was excellent for it with two 3rds and two wins. Last start was a victory hear in class 2 with similar going so it can be expected a good performance. Only the break opens a question mark that invites me not to bet for the win directly.
Garde Cotiere shows a larger absence in which it was far from successful here. Reachforthebucks has a noticeable form and may be the one to be in the discussion.

21

Views

0

Win

Result

625

Profit/Loss

Eagle Nebula Here For A Change

8:35 Newmarket

17/05 20:35

Eagle Nebula is likely of new laurels with this move up in category and down in length. The selection can be said a Lingfield fan, it raced there last 6 races in a row with nothing less than 3rd and 2 victories. Last start was a win with todays jockey Mongan with whom it went second in this course 9 months ago, distance and category with 9 extra pounds than today. So for consistency and results I see this Eagle flying high. Aldedash has merits for favourite at first sight like Patriotic. Daniel Thomas also shows consistency and same good thoughts had been made in support of Chatterer and Casual Mover.

47

Views

0

Win

Result

200

Profit/Loss

"delPo" Win

Juan Martin Del Potro vs Mikhail Youzhny

16/05 11:30

Matches between Juan Martin and Mikhail has been disputed but the result has been always a clear victory of the "tower of Tandil". Last week they met in a "blue" Madrid and Juan Martin wan in tie-break of second set. If you think it was the surface not that in "orange" Madrid clay of 2011 the overall result was the same 6-2,3-6,6-3. They met on hard once Florida 2007 and del Potro wan in 2 sets.
Youzhny(rk 34) shows 13 win and 6 defeats along this year . Juan Martín has worked a lot more winning 31 and losing 7 Two titles to one is the score in tournaments obtained this year, again ahead is "delPo" .

57

Views

0

Win

Result

145

Profit/Loss

Tomas Win

Tomas Berdych vs Lukasz Kubot

16/05 13:00

Tomas Berdych has beaten twice todays opponent. Once last year and the other in 2006 , both on hard and with comfortable sets. Seventh in the ranking and seed 7 here he has lost 7 matches this year. In that period he has won 26 encounters and picked the tournament at Montpelier (hard) . Last week was finalist on the blue clay of Madrid taking first set from Roger 6-3 to lose later 5-7 in next two sets.
Lukasz Kubot is ranked 54. He has been beaten 12 times this year while being victorious only 10 , no need to explain more.

34

Views

0

Win

Result

50

Profit/Loss

Nothing To Stop Him

Roger Federer vs Carlos Berlocq

16/05 13:00

Carlos Berlocq has great merits. Being close to its 30's he has got this year the best point of its career . He started the year placed 60th in the rank, touched 37 in March and is now 38th. He has a positive rate of 15 wins and 11 lost. He has finished quickly previous match in the tournament with Kavic 6-1 and 6-3. It is a pity then that he has to measure with Roger and obviously exit.
At this time it seems very difficult to beat Federer who has shown signs of best work this year losing only 3 in 31 and winning 4 trophies.

46

Views

0

Win

Result

10

Profit/Loss

No Value Bet

Florian Mayer vs Rafael Nadal

16/05 18:30

The same way that value bets should be lightened those with negative value should be also pointed out . That is one of this since despite whatever you can say around both players the fact is that the only time they met in the circuit Rafa lost. That was not too far ago, 2011 at Shangai hard surface in which Nadal unfocused after losing first in tie-break. Long time ago 2002 they played at Gran Canaria F20 and Rafa wan at the age of 15.
Mayer is 28th in the ranking, has won only 4 games of 15 played.
If any doubt Nadal will put all heart here to prove his sayings against the blue clay were right.

35

Views

0

Win

Result

5

Profit/Loss

Good Going Madame

8:40 Southwell

15/05 20:40

I shall take my chances with Madame Blavatsky in this one limited crew. Shuh Shuh Gah has had good results but a firmer ground and such increase in load are likely to be too much new for the favourite. Madame Blavatsky instead has a promissory place in its first race at present conditions but failed on the soft and heavy. Moscow Presents presents a 3rd with too much distance with the top ones. Brass Monky in a similar situation than the latter has been a choice for too many also. So I shall stick to MB that maintains a reward according to the risk involved. EW bet of course.

26

Views

0

Lose

Result

100

Profit/Loss