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Blogs>Mike Mercury |
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May 23 Looks Clear Pick
11:05
23/05 14:20 Gets my vote as southwell definatley appears to be this ones Forte and the 4lb elevation for ABI SCARLETTS latest win doesnt look excesive .... Came here back in January following a Kempton maiden 5th and duly obliged winning by short head with third 12 lengths further back and then sent to Wolverhampton for handicap debut when again involved in close finish and Second to Gabreils Bounty , Weakend one out at Lingfield and much more at home here as advertised latest when too good for Reve du Jour (3rd), Should again hold that one i think and none of the others have the experiance in this class on the Allweather 11
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May 22 Pole Position
19:35
22/05 19:45 Dont like freindlies as a rule and these two met twice in euro qualifier sharing the pionts with a win each and each time it was in the other teams back yard .... This is differant though and Latvia are pretty poor when it comes to freindlies .... I would expect Poland to ease through about 2-0 keeping a clean sheet .... Latvia can only boast draws with Khasakstan and Angola with the rest of their last 10 aways ending in a loss and see the same tonight 16
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Lose
Result
50
Profit/Loss Poland #2-0 Win @ 5.5 LOST May 22 Can Go Well Here From The Front
13:15
22/05 17:15 Evenly contested on ratings and a Three yearold classified stakes hardly inspires but one who should aquit itself well today is BAPAK PINTAR ... Still entire so must have ability of sorts and kept on over 2yo 6f efforts before staying on at Beverley when upped to a Mile .... Straight into handicap level and didnt shine too well on artificial surfaces at Kempton and Southwell ... Improved effort Good/Firm same as today when a staying on 4th at Redcar (1m)doing best of the worst drawn that day ,Natural to see selection upped in distance and led here over 1m2f to Three out on Heavier conditions than today and did well and did better than latest when beaten 1 out at Pontefract again 1m2f on softer conditions .... Proven here and worth a dig at this trip if leading and with handicap mark only 3lb lower is worth a pop in this class of race 64
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Lose
Result
50
Profit/Loss Bapak Pintar Win nap @ 7.5 LOST May 21 Should Be Able To Troll Up A Result
12:28
21/05 18:00 Table toppers at present although losing latest game against Second placed Malmo FF but even so i would have Elfsborg as odds on for this admittedley both losses so far have been away from home and they are currentley 3-0-2 but as said earlier losses were at 5th placed Helsingbourg and Malmo in second .... They travel to Sundesvall who are no great shakes and although win and draw for last Two games they were 3rd and Second bottom clubs .... They are 2-0-3 at home and on closer inspection its not great form winning against bottom club Gefle and Syrianska in 10th with losses against bottom 4 sides and a loss to 5th placed Helingbourg .... Close games each time but Elfsbourg have failed to net just once so far and that was latest away to 2nd placed club 47
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Win
Result
55
Profit/Loss Elfsborg Win @ 2.1 WON May 20 Home Advantage
17:13
20/05 18:00 Boils down to this game with regards to the league and if home side CFR Cluj win or draw the title is theirs .... Dont think they will rush their stuff in this and they would gladly accept the draw .... So with that in mind i like the price of 1.62 for CFR to win or draw and in this reverse fixture Steau Bucharesti had to come from a goal down to snatch a 1-1 result .... Cant see Cluj chucking this away and would expect them to be partying at the final whistle 19
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Win
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31
Profit/Loss CFR Cluj or Draw Win @ 1.62 WON May 20 Days Of York
12:01
20/05 15:00 Conference comes to a head today as Luton and York prepare to do battle for the right to enter football league proper and i reckon that York have the edge especially on the seasons form .... I have one veiw about this and that is if York can keep a clean sheet for first 30mins and who knows maybe to the end then they can wear down Luton who seem to score early and concede late 2-0 up at home to Wrexham by halftime and then went to Wales and again hit them early only to let them in to lates strikes and lose 2-1 .... York were fortunate to get a 1-1 at home against Mansfield but showed they can get results when attaining a 1-0 in the return in the 111th minute .... They have to put up a solid defence and take the early pressur but comprehensively beat Luton 3-0 and then came back from a 1-0 defeceit to beat Luton in their back yard 2-1 ,Interesting game and will go right to the end and will have a small interest in 33/1 for Luton /York ht ft 42
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Win
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106
Profit/Loss York Win @ 3.13 WON May 19 We Can Dream
19:07
19/05 19:45 A lot of talk about the difficulties Chelsea face without banned players and indeed they face a tough task as they are in the Lions backyard tonight and it,s totally possible that Bayern will go at this straight from the start and take Chelsea apart mid First half .... If thats the case then so be it and i reckon this will be won in the first half should that be the case but Chelsea seem to have something when they are dug in as shown in the Cup final and Bayern come here having lost their F.A cup whih is poor preperation .... They too have players suspended for this and their style of play will leave Chelsea with chances if able to take them .... Given the one sided ness of this then i will go with the 6/5 for Chelsea draw and reckon the 9/4 to win outright is worth it as well 25
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Win
Result
60
Profit/Loss Draw or Chelsea Win @ 2.2 WON May 19 No Mistakes
13:56
19/05 15:00 Its no seceret now that i prefer the chances of West Ham to Blackpool in the way they got here and looking back at previous 20 games Blackpool have had 6 clean sheets so whats more interesting is that they won all 4 of those win Two 0-0,s.... Will West Ham score i definately think so so when Blackpool concede floodgates seem to open ... Couple below 2.5 goals but vast majority of last Twenty games whn both score have been around 4 goals ,3-1 West Ham looks the bet then and 1-4 + 4-0 league losses seem to confirm that 30
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Win
Result
375
Profit/Loss West Ham #2-1 Win @ 8.5 WON May 19 Hammer It Home
13:46
19/05 15:00 Looks a foregone conclusion to me and although i dont expect it to be a walkover West Ham have looked the stronger side .... They finished off the season well and deserve to be here putting things to bed in Cardiff before easing through .... Blackpool did as well but should really of battered Birmingham at home and then let a 2-0 lead go at st Andrews .... Think west Ham are the better finishers and will win the battle of the finishers as Blackpools older legs fade lter the game goes in what should be an open match on this vast Ampithetre 37
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Win
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47
Profit/Loss West Ham Win @ 1.95 WON May 19 Simple If League Form Applied
13:40
19/05 15:00 Big final with plenty of money on offer to the victors sees Blackpool and west Ham do battle today and if going back to league form then the Hammers would be shorter than the bookies have them .... 4-0 and 4-1 wins against Blackpool makes this look very one sided especially when you see previous games and i think that although this wont be a 4-0 to West Ham i will do them o win halftime and fulltime 40
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Win
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112
Profit/Loss West Ham - West Ham Win @ 3.25 WON May 17 Wanna Be With Common People
12:35
17/05 15:00 Interesting sort who enjoyed a good season last year and looks a progressive sort who should have an E/W squeak given excellent Course form .... COMMON TOUCH has a career record here of 1411 not bad for a 4yearold ,Started with a 6f maiden win here and came back over Seven to run a decent 4th in a nice little Nursery here .... Put away then till Three and after a Beverley comeback run when 2nd then came here to stay on well and take a York7f class 2 handicap and then asserted well late again over Courses 7 to take a class 3 5lb higher .... Dissapionted in the Brittania 1m at Ascot but drawn wrong and forgivable so nice to see selection stay on well at Goodwood to get to within Threequarters of a Length to Webbow in class 2 classified stakes .... Has to be taken on trust that selection is fit enough but proven enough here and Listed handicap could well be within this ones scope as i feel a Mile is right 40
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Lose
Result
50
Profit/Loss Common Touch EW @ 15 LOST May 17 Not Quite Enough
12:16
17/05 19:45 Interesting game tonight and after first leg Cheltenham enjoy a 2-0 lead and visit a side in Torquay that have not been known for being prolific goalscorers , Danger here is that i think Cheltenham will defend the lead that they have and although stringing together Five wins from last Seven they were mainly home wins with a solitary win away to 4th bottom side .... Beaten at Crewe and Rotherham in other aways and although only 1-0 each time they have lost BUT Seven away losses from last 10 and that is copounded when you look at pionts they have won in those last Ten aways ,1-1 at 23rd placed Hereford 0-5 but at 19th placed Dagenham and a 1-2 at 21st placed Plymouth ... Relied on home form then but Torquay didnt excatley finish well either picking up just Tree pionts from last Six games .... Not many homes in that though and finished with tough home draws against Southend and Crewe both involved in other playoff and 5 wins a draw and a loss from others give Torquay good enough form to win and i will go for home side to not quite have enough tonight and 1-0 win for me , Danger there is that home side over gamble and allow vistitors a daft late one but will have to take that chance 37
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Lose
Result
50
Profit/Loss Torquay #1-0 Win @ 7 LOST |
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