OLBG Top Blogs

  • Have the Bookies Missed a Trick with Exact Goal Betting?

    danbradley on 03 Feb at 20:22

    There are loads of options if, like me, you like to bet on goals in football matches. Compared to betting on match winners it seems more scientific in a way, and we justify betting on such markets as over/under 2.5 goals by looking at the form of the sides as well as their records over the season and find reasons to back either the over or the under. The bookies have access to the same stats that we do, though, and they price up the games accordingly, as well as, of course, giving themselves a nice little margin. There's no doubt it's completely sensible that they offer varying odds in this market - surely it is obvious that a game between West Brom and Swansea is far more likely to be under 2.5 goals than over, just like a game…

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  • Racing At Meydan Preview - 4 February 2016

    Robmull on 02 Feb at 15:19

    The purpose of this blog is to provide readers with information in relation to speed ratings and running styles for the declared runners, plus draw and pace biases for the track, which I hope will provide us with some good priced winners during the afternoon. Having reviewed my betting records for Meydan during the 2015 Carnival, I realised that my wagers in the turf races were exceptionally poor, whilst profits were reasonable in the races on the dirt track. Therefore, I have decided that I will focus both my regular blogs and personal betting on the dirt races for the rest of the Carnival. This scenario has continued during the first 4 weeks of the 2016 Carnival, whereby the main and first alternative selections have provided 9 winners from 30 wagers (15 races) for a LSP of 8.96 pts. This…

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  • PREMIER LEAGUE STATISTICS. A mid-season update.

    davidg3907 on 01 Feb at 10:44

    With 230 matches played it is again time to revisit some of the theories considered at the end of last season and see whether similar patterns are emerging. To avoid clutter, the explanations and tables have been omitted but remain on the original blogs. A full breakdown will be posted at the end of the season for comparison. Over the past 8 seasons, there have been approximately 70% home favourites ( exactly 70% last season). That was the case at the half-way point this season too, but now the figure stands at 69.57% (160/230). RESULT OF THE MATCH Based on HOME DRAW AWAY Level stake bets of 1 point on each result for each of the 380 matches last season show the following returns. 58/114 ( 50.88% ) of away favs have won and 142/266 ( 53.38% ) of home favs have won. 26/114…

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  • Trying To Understand The Cheltenham Gold Cup Market

    Gman84 on 03 Feb at 01:38

    With roughly six weeks to go until the greatest show in National Hunt racing takes over all our lives for four days of thrills and spills I've spent a lot of time following the ante post market for the main event - The Timico Gold Cup. With Coneygree's victory in the race as a novice last year as well as the runner up (Djakadam) and 3rd place (Road To Riches) also showing that they belong it seemed that they would be able to go forward and join two exciting novice chase winners (Vautour in the JLT and Don Poli in the RSA) in forming a new set of dynamic jumping heros who could bring us a Gold Cup for the ages. It gets even better when Don Cossack - 3rd in the Ryanair at the festival - then took apart…

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  • Cheltenham Festival Day 4 Trends & Trainer/Jockey Trends

    Micko70 on 02 Feb at 11:34

    Friday 18th March (Gold Cup is day 4 of the greatest show on turf and the highlight of the meeting, now that Cheltenham and the BHA have added another race, we will see 7 races on each day of the 4 day meeting, 28 races in total I have looked at a few trends for each of the races and these can be read below Also, OLBG member Shrews has posted some Trainer/Jockey stats on the OLBG Forum for each race at the meeting, he has looked at the last 6 runnings and awarded trainers & Jockeys points on where they finished in that race, giving totals for each race, with some very interesting results, these can be found HERE Friday will see the following races - 1.30 - The JCB Triumph Hurdle (2m 1f) 2.10 - The Vincent O’Brien County Hurdle (2m 1f) 2.50…

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  • totepool Scottish County Hurdle at Musselburgh Key Race Trends - 7 February 2016

    Robmull on 04 Feb at 13:39

    The totepool Supporting Scottish Racing Scottish County Hurdle is a Listed Handicap Hurdle which is run over 1 mile 7 furlongs and 124 yards at Musselburgh on Sunday, 7 February 2016. With an average field size of almost 16 runners during the past decade, the Scottish County Hurdle is an interesting race for punters to assess as although only 2 of the favourites have obliged during the past decade, a further 7 winners started at odds of 13/2 or shorter, whilst the only exception was sent off at 12/1, which suggests that this is a poor event for relatively unfancied runners. Readers of my previous Key Race Trends blogs will be aware that I normally concentrate on early closing races where the key trends for the race have been published by the Racing Post a few weeks in advance…

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