OLBG Top Blogs

  • A Betting Guide To The Great British Bake Off

    LustForLeith on 22 Sep at 20:48

    A Betting Guide To The Great British Bake Off The BBC have lost probably their prize asset in The Great British Bake off to Channel 4 and with the departure the proposed new show has lost it’s current hosts in Mel Giedryc and Sue Perkins. The comediennes have been one of the reasons behind the shows success. There’s a bit of innuendo but its all done in a harmless way while the hosts seem to genuinely care for the contestants. So that’s a pair of big shoes to fill. What do Channel 4 do? Copy the format, bearing in mind Mary Berry has said she won’t be joining the new show while fellow judge Paul Hollywooid will. Or will they rip it up and start again? It’s a difficult decision to make. They’ve spent a lot of money acquiring…

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  • Betting on the 2016/17 NFL Season using The Underdog Theorem

    Callingnumber6 on 21 Sep at 14:12

    The Underdog Theorem (based on the work of Eddie Getz) works on the principle of parity in the NFL ie all teams over time should be equal. Having established a 'streak' (0-2 or 2-0) we establish a 'Portfolio' of teams who, once they enter the portfolio 'owe' us a payout. This seasons portfolio comprises the following teams: 2-0 teams New England (NEP) Pittsburgh (PIT) Baltimore (BAL) Houston (HOU) Denver (DEN) NY Giants (NYG) Minnesota (MIN) Philadelphia (PHI) 0-2 teams Miami (MIA) Buffalo (BUF) Cleveland (CLE) Jacksonville (JAX) Indianapolis (IND) Washington (WAS) New Orleans (NOS) Chicago (CHI) Whatever your view of individual sides the system is purely mechanical taking emotion out of betting. For example I follow the Jags and am surprised to see them 0-2 but there it is. Now the next step is to look at the schedules of all the teams and…

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  • Understanding Betting Odds to give you an advantage

    nors on 26 Sep at 14:57

    When you understand betting odds and percentages your profits will increase. By thinking of the Modus Operandi (MO) of the bookmakers and putting yourself in their shoes then you can start to see what they are up to with individual prices.The Executioner in his excellent Bookmaker Betting Percentages blog explained how each price is equal to a percentage. 4.5 or 7/2 = 22.20 % 6.0 or 5/1 = 16.67 % 9.0 or 8/1= 11.11 % The Racing Post each day publishes the betting percentages of each race and you can see the variation between bookmakers. In this example Paddy Power have the biggest percentage book at 121% and BetVictor have the smallest percentage book at 114%.The 21% and 14% above 100% are the bookmakers overround. The overround is the bookies advantage and is calculated so they will collect more from punters than they…

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  • OLBG Community Round Up - Friday 23rd September

    OLBG NEWS on 23 Sep at 15:31

    What Do You Not Understand About Betting? was the question posed, we expect there has always been something that you didn't quite get, or couldn't quite fathom out. This OLBG forum thread give you the opportunity to ask your betting question. Previously we asked OLBG members What is your most common betting mistake? and we have now turned that thread into an OLBG reference blog, called 9 Sports Betting Mistakes That Will Kill Your Profits. If your mates need some betting advice just send them the link to this blog. Football Tipping Last week of the tipping month and the 1x2 Premier League competition. Before this weekend's games the following members are heading the table. IamRichT Salato The Wolf Jiri777 haberdash This competition has a monthly Prize structure of £200x1,£100x1,£50x1,£10x15 so its well worth winning. Did you know that each week fans of specific Premier League teams…

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  • Strictly Come Dancing 2016 Series 14 #SCD #Strictly Week1

    garlicsauce on 24 Sep at 22:37

    Strictly Come Dancing 2016 - Series 14 #SCD #Strictly Week 1 Launch Show and Pairings - Read It Here! THIS IS A NO SPOILER BLOG AND THE ELIMINATION RESULTS WILL ONLY BE UPDATED AFTER THEY HAVE BEEN ANNOUNCED IN THE RESULTS SHOW NO PUBLIC VOTE FOR WEEK 1 - JUDGES SCORES ARE CARRIED FORWARD TO WEEK 2 Anastacia & Brendan Dance - Cha Cha to 'Lady Marmalade' by Christina Aguilera, Mya, Lil' Kim and Pink Anastacia looked supremely confident at the start, but things didn’t quite go to plan. There was a huge wobble off one of the spins and a few more errors littered the routine which was a shame. It was really sexy and she attacked the dance with gusto. The Judges were impressed, but she may need to reel it in a bit and not get overconfident so early. It…

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  • The Betfred Cesarewitch Handicap 2016 : Preview with antepost and race day tips

    The Market Man on 22 Sep at 17:37

    The Betfred Cesarewitch Handicap 2016 : Preview with antepost and race day tips The Cesarewitch is one of the top staying handicaps of the flat season and with the Ebor, the Northumberland Plate and the Ascot Stakes, it offers flat trainers an opportunity to send their horses over distances normally associated with their National Hunt colleagues, so it should be of no surprise that trainers from that code have often tasted success in this prestigious Newmarket handicap. Also, coming two weeks after The Betfred Cambridgeshire, it forms the second leg of the Autumn Double. Some facts and figures to consider Two 9/2 favourites, two 50/1 shots and two 66/1 shocks. That's just in the last decade. National Hunt trainers have won the race 5 times during that period, with many other places being filled by horses residing at stables with runners…

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  • Horse Racing Trends - Issue 5 - 27 September to 3 October 2016

    Robmull on 26 Sep at 15:23

    The purpose of this blog is to provide trends based information that will hopefully assist readers to identify value and profitable wagers throughout the week. Although it is highly unlikely that all of the trends detailed below will prove profitable to follow immediately, many of the statistics should be worth noting for consideration in the future. However, in my opinion, the data can be used to produce a list of potential candidates that can then be assessed further through the use of form study, race and ground conditions, plus any draw/pace bias, etc, to identify likely winners and hopefully profitable bets. My intention is to update this blog on a daily basis, with information that will generally relate to the following day’s race meetings, so even if a reader finds nothing to interest them on a specific day, there may be…

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