OLBG Top Blogs

  • PBF RATINGS - 7TH FEBRUARY.

    pompeybuster12 on 07 Feb at 08:42

    PBF. SOME IMPORTANT NOTES. The most likely winner is the horse I have shortest on my tissue. The value horse is simply the horse that offers the biggest margin over the bookmaker’s tissue. Value is subjective and while a horse available at 150/1 with the bookies when you think it is a 20/1 shot is clearly a value bet, your edge is still relatively low, it may be seven times the price but it still only offers you an edge of around 4%. The ratings are a raw figure, nothing more and nothing less, the tissue is not based on the ratings as I have many years ago tried to base a tissue on various ratings and the result is generally the same, everything ends up at around 7/1 and poses more questions than it answers!! The tissue is my own model…

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  • Cheltenham Festival Day 4 Trends & Trainer/Jockey Trends

    Micko70 on 02 Feb at 11:34

    Friday 18th March (Gold Cup is day 4 of the greatest show on turf and the highlight of the meeting, now that Cheltenham and the BHA have added another race, we will see 7 races on each day of the 4 day meeting, 28 races in total I have looked at a few trends for each of the races and these can be read below Also, OLBG member Shrews has posted some Trainer/Jockey stats on the OLBG Forum for each race at the meeting, he has looked at the last 6 runnings and awarded trainers & Jockeys points on where they finished in that race, giving totals for each race, with some very interesting results, these can be found HERE Friday will see the following races - 1.30 - The JCB Triumph Hurdle (2m 1f) 2.10 - The Vincent O’Brien County Hurdle (2m 1f) 2.50…

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  • In Form Trainers - 8 to 14 February 2016

    Robmull on 07 Feb at 12:34

    The purpose of this blog is to highlight trainers in Britain that are currently in good form based on a minimum of 5 winners at a strike rate of 20% or more and have recorded a level stake profit across all of their runners during the last 14 days up to the close of racing on Saturday. In addition, I will endeavour to list where these trainers have horses entered at racecourses over the forthcoming week where the trainer has been profitable to follow since the start of 2012 and will also highlight any jockeys that have been profitable to follow when teaming up with our in form trainers, during 2015/16. There is an old saying that states that success breeds further success and whilst most training stables come in and out of form during the year, it often pays…

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  • Winter Derby Trial Trends (Updated 5th Feb)

    Micko70 on 03 Feb at 14:12

    The Winter Derby Trial is run on Lingfield's All Weather track in February every year, and is run over 1m 2f I have looked at the last 10 runnings of the race and looked at the following trends, Age, Weight, Official Rating, Last Time Out, Last Run, Distance & Draw 5 day decs - 0827-4 Brocklebank(10) 7 9-0 Simon Dow 88 6554-2 Captain Cat(28) 7 9-0 Roger Charlton 107 1342- Charles Camoin(56) 8 9-0 Sylvester Kirk 97 3546-3 Complicit(28) 5 9-0 Paul Cole 102 54522- Grendisar(49) 6 9-0 Marco Botti 108 52404- Watersmeet(141) 5 9-0 Mark Johnston 103 0-521 Winterlude(10) 6 9-0 Jennie Candlish 97 45641- Festive Fare(56) 4 8-13 Charlie Appleby 108 113-13 Lamar(21) 5 8-12 James Tate 105 342-14 Mitre Peak(5) 4 8-8 Richard Fahey 80 Age 9 of the last 10 winners were no older than 6 Positives = Complicit, Grendisar, Watersmeet, Winterlude, Festive Fare, Lamar & Mitre Peak Weight 7 of the…

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  • Arsenal v LEICESTER. Premier League February 14th.

    davidg3907 on 07 Feb at 15:25

    ARSENAL v LEICESTER CITY Last week’s match between Manchester City and Leicester City was (prematurely) billed by some as a title decider. That was no more the case than this match will be, but in much the same way, it appears to be a game that Arsenal, after their recent run of poor results, simply can’t afford to lose. They had taken just 3 points from their last 4 games; a total that was doubled when they beat Bournemouth today in a far from dominant display. LEICESTER’S APPROACH This, apart from the home match against Manchester City ( see later), varies little from game to game. It has become slightly more cultured since the high tempo affairs at the end of last season, partly due to the relatively few changes in playing personnel, and finding a way to tighten up at the back…

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  • All Draws Multiple Challenge 2015/16 - All Draw Fun in February

    tbuckley on 03 Feb at 19:28

    All Draws Multiple Challenge 2015/16 - All Draw Fun in February I absolutely love taking on a challenge, especially a football betting related one that can potentially help people so last season when a fellow OLBG member posted on another blog to say that he couldn't find anybody who covered specifically selecting draws then I really could not resist taking that challenge on. The challenge of selecting matches which I think have great potential to be draws and then putting them together in multiples in something that I've personally done on a regular basis for several years now and I like to do it as extra option to the all to win multiples that I do. I like to target draws as the odds are usually very good, standard draw prices range from 2-1 to 12/5 and clearly if you can get…

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  • Cheltenham Festival Day 3 Trends & Trainer/Jockey Trends

    Micko70 on 02 Feb at 11:33

    Thursday 17th March is day 3 of the greatest show on turf, now that Cheltenham and the BHA have added another race, we will see 7 races on each day of the 4 day meeting, 28 races in total I have looked at a few trends for each of the races and these can be read below Also, OLBG member Shrews has posted some Trainer/Jockey stats on the OLBG Forum for each race at the meeting, he has looked at the last 6 runnings and awarded trainers & Jockeys points on where they finished in that race, giving totals for each race, with some very interesting results, these can be found HERE Thursday will see the following races - 1:30 - The JLT Novices’ Chase (2m 4f) 2.10 - The Pertemps Network Final (3m) 2.50 - The Ryanair Chase (2m 5f) 3.30 - The Ladbrokes World…

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