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  • The NFL Underdog Blog - Week 4

    ebookconverter on 02 Oct at 04:04

    Last week Things were looking promising last Sunday. Down just five points and driving steadily downfield, the Lions were inside the Denver half with just four minutes left - and Stafford threw an interception. That was that. But fair credit to Denver's defense. For the third game in a row it comes up with a crucial play. How long can that last? Read on... Performance on the week 0 from 1, -1.0 pt Performance on the season 2 from 6, -0.20 pts This week There's several matches that look worthy of at least consideration: Jaguars at the Colts, Giants at the Bills, Redskins hosting Philly, 49ers at home to the Packers, the Vikings visiting Denver, and the Bears welcoming the surprising Raiders. The 49ers looked very good in week one but in hindsight that has the look of a fluke performance. They've lost…

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  • Keeping your own Match Ratings to Predict Results

    bobslay13 on 29 Sep at 13:27

    Keeping your own Match Ratings and using them to Predict Results Introduction I’ve been keeping records of my own match ratings for each Premier League game this season. It’s something I’ve been meaning to do for a while and something I know that plenty of successful and strategic professional football bettors do. My ‘system’ is quite simple really. I give a team marks out of 10 for their match performance. By match performance I do not mean how good the final score was for them instead I mean how well they played. They could play well and be extremely unlucky and lose 3-0, it happens; and quite regularly too. How the strategy works The main idea of this is to help me when I’m looking at the form for upcoming fixtures. Results do not always tell the story, pretty often they are not…

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  • Saturday Racing Preview - 3 October 2015 - Final Update

    Robmull on 30 Sep at 14:40

    Saturday is usually the busiest day of the week in terms of race meetings, attendance at race meetings swelled by occasional racegoers enjoying a good day out and betting turnover, as once a week punters try to find the winners of the races that they are able to watch on terrestrial TV. In general, the races that are covered by Channel 4 on Saturday are often the most valuable and competitive events of the week and as such are the most complex to analyse. In addition, many Saturday punters that I know struggle to find sufficient time to fully analyse all of the data that is available in the media, prior to making their selections, as they find they are under time restraints due to competing home and/or work commitments. Speaking from personal experience, I have lost count of the…

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  • Chelsea vs Southampton - Can Saints Catch Chelsea Cold?

    danbradley on 30 Sep at 13:24

    Chelsea vs Southampton - Can Saints Catch Chelsea Cold? Saints’ season finally seems to be up and running with their convincing win over Swansea meaning the club’s form now looks very respectable, with only an unlucky and narrow defeat to Man Utd, who currently lead the league, as a blemish on their recent form. With Saints coming into this game in decent form and Chelsea on the back of several defeats at the start of the season, this looks like the best chance for Saints to face up to this most difficult of fixtures. vs Chelsea - The Team The last match saw the timely return of Ryan Bertrand at left full back, and he seems likely to keep his place against his old side, and his overall return to action is something that should help Southampton greatly. He and the addition of…

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    pompeybuster12 on 01 Oct at 19:22

    A BRIEF OVERVIEW OF PBF. PBF works on a simple percentage basis, with ratings becoming much more tightly bunched as the sample analysis size gets bigger. It is common over small samples to derive huge figures as you will see, but the bigger figures are only indicative over the bigger samples. A general rule I tend to use is, the trends themselves act as a pointer to explore unusually large figures over a bigger sample size and if they can be franked, should be able to point us towards horses that outperform the market. The figures can hopefully give a broader understanding of trends them simply “8/10 top weights have won this race in the past” and give an indicator as to whether it is simply a small random sample or has its roots deeply in a specific trend. I am going to…

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  • Trainers to follow in October

    Scratville on 30 Sep at 15:21

    We go into October full of confidence with around £200 LSP for August/September. October 2014 was really good with +£102.64 and 2013 +£35.42. We have plenty returning from last year and a couple of new additions. Unfortunately the Flat turf season has really tailed of as far as the Blog in concerned, we only have one trainer to follow in that sphere. Ideally I would like more runners but the figures simply aren't good enough. NH (GB) NIGEL TWISTON-DAVIES (NON BUMPERS) We start with a trainer that has given us +£19.33 and +£46.23 in the last two years (Best Odds Guaranteed figures). We aren't including his bumpers horses however as he is 1/18 in that sphere over the last 5 years. 2010 15/79 19% +£66.95 2011 11/49 22% +£13.03 2012 9/58 16% (£17.31) 2013 10/57 18% +£ 5.05 2014 12/42 29% +£22.63 In…

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  • NHL win totals tips

    Epic on 29 Sep at 14:43

    October is just around the corner, which means the hockey season will soon start across the pond. Before posting my preview for the new NHL season, I thought I will share some views of the win totals market, which was released by the bookies last week. I feel some of the lines are really off. Hopefully my thoughts will help you to pick out the best bets and cash in next Spring when the grueling regular season ends. Anaheim Ducks Over/Under 48.5 The Ducks had 51 wins last season. It was a bizarre year from them as 33 of the wins were by 1 goal. With that in mind the under looks tempting, but they've had two straight seasons with at least 50 wins and have gotten better in the off-season, so OVER (@ 1.73) is the bet. Arizona Coyotes Over/Under 27.5 Looks like a dead…

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