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  • Exact Goal Betting System - Week 2

    danbradley on 08 Feb at 22:41

    Last week I came up with an idea for a system involving a goals market which the bookies don't seem to have taken seriously yet, but for which the stats suggest there should as much variation in prices as the more commonly used over/under 2.5 goals which gets plenty of attention from punters and bookmakers alike. This system uses exact goals. However, rather than going one way or another, over or under, I'm looking at sides who regularly have 2/3 goals in a game and sides that regularly either have very low-scoring or very high-scoring games. We can back there to be exactly 2/3 goals in a game at 2.05 in pretty much every Premier League game, while laying at that price usually gives us effective odds after fees of about 1.85. With these odds staying the same in every game,…

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  • WTA players who can win their first title in 2016

    The rabbit on 10 Feb at 18:48

    The start of the 2016 WTA tour began with tournaments in Australia, China and New Zealand and the first Grand Slam was the Australian Open in Melbourne where Angelique Kerber defeated Serena Williams in the final to obtain her first Grand Slam trophy. Most tennis fans are familiar with all the top players who should win again but I find it interesting to try and predict which players will win their maiden WTA title during a season and last year I managed to successfully choose three out of four selections ( Belinda Bencic, Camila Giorgi and Sloane Stephens ). I have selected these four players who I believe to have the ability to gain their first WTA title success in 2016 - Daria Gavrilova Daria has won four titles on the ITF tour including two last year in Australia…

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  • Stats on the alternative NHL markets

    undertherobe on 09 Feb at 23:14

    Last February, I produced a blog which looked at finding alternative value in the NHL, focusing on some of the less traditional markets and using the stats available. We’ve now passed the All-Star break in the 2015/16 season and teams have played between 51 and 56 games. So how are those stats matching up this season? 3-way moneyline For those who bet on Football (or soccer) this is a familiar market and is just the 60 minute result which means we also have the draw as an option. The draw in the NHL is generally available between 5/2 and 3/1 for most games but trying to predict a draw in the NHL is a lot tougher than in football. Quite often in football, we see teams trying to play for a draw with the way that they set up their formation but that…

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  • AT & T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. - Tips, Stats, form and trends

    Ralfie1982 on 08 Feb at 23:21

    AT & T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Really good result last time out in the Dubai, with 3 of the 4 selections placing (and only missed out on the win on the 18th hole). The other selection was also in the Top 10 so good all round. The stats Pebble Beach GC, California Prize money $7m $1.26m to the winner 500 Fedex points Tournament Records -22 under PAR / 265 shots Different Format The starting field consists of 156 professionals and 156 amateurs. One professional is paired with one amateur. Each day, 52 2-man teams will play on one of the three courses. Then on the final day, those professionals and pro-amateur teams making the 54-hole cut will play on the Pebble Beach Golf Links. Individual cut At 54 holes, the low 60 scorers plus any ties. Players between 61st…

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  • Arsenal v LEICESTER. Premier League February 14th.

    davidg3907 on 07 Feb at 15:25

    ARSENAL v LEICESTER CITY Last week’s match between Manchester City and Leicester City was (prematurely) billed by some as a title decider. That was no more the case than this match will be, but in much the same way, it appears to be a game that Arsenal, after their recent run of poor results, simply can’t afford to lose. They had taken just 3 points from their last 4 games; a total that was doubled when they beat Bournemouth today in a far from dominant display. LEICESTER’S APPROACH This, apart from the home match against Manchester City ( see later), varies little from game to game. It has become slightly more cultured since the high tempo affairs at the end of last season, partly due to the relatively few changes in playing personnel, and finding a way to tighten up at the back…

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  • The 1.8-2.2 Bookie Trap - Avoiding low value betting

    ibfm23 on 09 Feb at 05:21

    I have always been a big football fan and since I turned 18 i always liked to have a pop at it, never with large stakes involved as I do not have the guts to keep my cool under money pressure, but enough to keep it interesting. That said as time went by I have gotten more and more frustrated at my inability to turn what I believe is my above-average knowledge into a sustainable profit. As an outright geek :) I always kept record of my bets and upon reviewing the results I identified a common denominating factor, what I've come to call, the 1.8-2.2 Bookie Trap. Implied probabilities As most of you know, odds may be translated into implied probabilities through a simple mathematical formula. Nowadays a google search will take you to an automated online implied odds calculator.…

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  • Euro 2016 - Name The Finalists Market

    botev1921 on 09 Feb at 20:42

    The coverage of the potential for profits involving the various Euro 2016 markets continues with a combo market, which is considered by many to be one of the most difficult to get right. It is difficult enough to predict a champion at a big tournament, which has just gotten even bigger, but how about trying to figure which team the champion will beat in the final? Name the finalists is intriguing enough from value perspective as the odds start as high as 9/1 and I figure there must be some way to try and create a reasonable enough strategy and determine who those two best teams will be. Once again feel free to comment either here, on facebook or twitter if you feel you can expand the knowledge on this combo market. THE COMPLEX EURO 2016 STRUCTURE Normally at big tournaments there…

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