O'Sullivan Hat-Trick Looks Overpriced
by TeddyT on 11 Jun at 16:39
With just over a month since the end of the 2013 World Championship we have already seen the initial winner of the 2013/14 season when John Higgins took the first European Tour event in Bulgaria.
Perhaps surprisingly one player who turned up in Bulgaria was Ronnie O’Sullivan and judging by his Twitter comments the World Champion appears to be enjoying playing snooker again. This has made me wonder if O’Sullivan represents a decent long range bet to win his sixth (and third consecutive) World Title next April.
A couple of bookmakers are currently offering 5/1 about a Rocket hat-trick and I’m quite surprised to see the bookies being that generous. I believe O’Sullivan was only a 6/1 shot to win in 2013 and that was after a year away from competitive snooker.
I was lucky enough to be in Sheffield for..
Royal Ascot. The Coventry Stakes and the Windsor Castle Stakes. Final Fields now known.
by martinr on 12 Jun at 05:45
The final fields for the Coventry Stakes and the Windsor Stakes have been declared.
16 go to post in the Coventry Stakes. Coolmore have accepted with three runners. Richard Hannon and Mick Channon are starting a team of three each as well.
13 of the 16 runners won last time out, so there's no help for punters there. Of the 3 runners that didn't win LTO, one of them (Riverboat Springs) looks to have a live chance as well.
Stubbs is the pre post favourite, trading around the 3.50 mark. The 3 Coolmore runners all feature in the top 5 in betting:
Stubbs. 3.50
Championship. 6.00.
Sir John Hawkins. 6.00.
Thunderstrike. 8.50
War Command. 11.00.
Riverboat Springs. 11.00.
Wahaab. 13.00.
Mawfoor. 13.00.
Parbold. 17.00.
Others: 13.00 - 100.00
With favoured runners having such a good record in the Coventry it seems best to concentrate on the..
SP v Tote @ Royal Ascot
by Micko70 on 13 Jun at 00:18
I have been looking at the results for the past 4 years at Royal Ascot and looking to see whether the SP or Tote returns were the best for each race.
Royal Ascot 2012
Tuesday
2.30
3.05
3.45
4.25
5.00
5.35
SP
1/10
12/1
9/1
7/2
8/1
14/1
Tote
1.10
16.20
10.80
4.40
7.50
19.00
The SP was best in 2 of the 6 races and The Tote was best in 3 of the 6 races, 1 race brought the same returns
Placing £1 win on all 6 winners would return the following -
Sp = £52.60
Tote = £59.00
Wednesday
2.30
3.05
3.45
4.25
5.00
5.35
SP
20/1
11/1
4/5
16/1
20/1
4/1
Tote
25.40
13.20
1.90
18.40
27.00
5.80
The SP was best in 0 of the 6 races and The Tote was best in all 6 of the races
Placing £1 win on all 6 winners would return the following -
Sp = £77.80
Tote = £91.70
Thursday
2.30
3.05
3.45
4.25
5.00
5.35
SP
4/1
17/2
6/1
6/1
15/2
12/1
Tote
5.40
9.20
7.20
6.60
8.00
15.30
The SP was best in 2 of the 6 races and The Tote was best in 4 of the 6 races
Placing £1 win on all 6 winners would return the following -
Sp..
Prince of Wales's Stakes
by Micko70 on 15 Jun at 12:10
The Prince of Wales's Stakes is a group 1 race run over a mile and 2 furlongs during day 2 of the Royal meeting.
Looking at the 10 year trends for the race could help us decide which horses have a great chance of winning the race this year.
Winner
AGE
OR
Last Run
LTO
Group 1
Dist
Year Runs
Year Wins
2012
So You Think
6
125
May
1st
Win
7
2
1
2011
Rewilding
4
121
March
1st
Win
0
1
1
2010
Byword
4
124
May
2nd
/
1
3
2
2009
Vision D'Etat
4
122
Apr
1st
Win
3
2
1
2008
Duke Of Marmalade
4
124
May
1st
Win
/
2
2
2007
Manduro
5
125
May
1st
Win
3
2
2
2006
Ouija Board
5
117
Jun
2nd
Win
1
3
0
2005
Azamour
4
123
May
4th
Win
1
1
0
2004
Rakti
5
121
Dec
2nd
Win
5
0
0
2003
Nayef
5
124
Mar
3rd
Win
3
1
0
5 Day declarations
42122- Afsare(305) 6 9-0 Luca Cumani 116
2/1-11 Al Kazeem(24) 5 9-0 Roger Charlton 119
127-12 Camelot(24) 4 9-0 A P O´Brien 120
16-121 Maxios(24) 5 9-0 J E Pease 120
0-2143 Miblish(20) 4 9-0 Clive Brittain 105
1425-1 Mukhadram(20) 4 9-0 William Haggas 111
81-238 Red Cadeaux(31) 7 9-0 Ed Dunlop 121
1231-4 Saint Baudolino(132) 4 9-0 Saeed bin Suroor 115
226-44 Side Glance(81) 6 9-0 Andrew Balding 115
459-33 Windsor Palace(24) 8 9-0 A P O´Brien 103
32123- The Fugue(229) 4 8-11 John Gosden 116
Age
9 of the last 10..
Royal Ascot - In which races should we back Sir Michael Stoute?
by drobgod on 12 Jun at 09:12
With Royal Ascot fast approaching and the US Open Golf firmly studied up I thought I'd turn my attention to trying to find some decent betting angles for next week and where better to start than Sir Michael Stoute, trainer of 45 winners at the Royal meeting.
I've decided to concentrate solely on his runners in group races that contest races run over at least 1m 4f and have used results from 2006 to 2012 for my research. Below is a list of the races he had runners in, where they finished, their starting price, the horses age and who rode them and then underneath I have broken the results down further in the hope of finding that angle we need.
2006
Ribblesdale - 2nd 5/2f (3yo) K Fallon and 11th 6/1 (3yo) C Soumillon
Gold Cup - 3rd 5/2f (7yo) Mick Kinane
King..
Royal Ascot: Coventry Stakes - Pedigree Analysis and Race Preview
by mjj000 on 16 Jun at 23:17
Dosage Profile of 2013 Coventry Stakes contenders in comparison to previous winners of the race
Dosage Profile (Brilliant - Intermediate - Classic - Solid - Professional)
The dosage profile is a series of five numbers which shows how many points this horse has inherited from their sires in each category. The Brilliant and Intermediate category relate to a horses speed, whilst the Classic and Solid categories relate to stamina
Dosage Index - Calculates a ratio of the horses speed to its stamina The general rule is the higher the number, the speedier the horse. Eg. 2.0 means the horse has twice as much speed as stamina
Centre of Distribution - The COD is another indicator of speed and stamina. A positive COD indicates a preference for speed, whereas a negative COD indicates he they have more stamina points
Horse
Dosage Profile
Dosage Points
Dosage Index
COD
..
St James Palace Stakes
by Micko70 on 14 Jun at 01:26
The St James Palace Stakes is a group 1 race run over a mile during the opening day of the Royal meeting.
Looking at the 10 year trends for the race could help us decide which horses have a great chance of winning the race this year.
Winner
OR
Last Run
LTO
Group 1
Dist
Year Runs
Year Wins
2012
Most Improved
115
Jun
14
Place
0
1
0
2011
Frankel
130
Apr
1
Win
3
2
2
2010
Canford Cliffs
122
May
1
Win
1
3
1
2009
Mastercrafstman
121
May
1
Win
1
2
1
2008
Henrythenavigator
124
May
1
Win
2
2
2
2007
Excellent Art
122
May
4
Place
0
1
0
2006
Araafa
116
May
1
Win
1
2
1
2005
Shamardal
123
Jun
1
Win
1
3
2
2004
Azamour
118
May
2
Place
1
2
0
2003
Zafeen
117
May
14
Place
0
3
0
5 Day declarations
111-10 Dawn Approach[17] 3 9-0 J S Bolger 125
5-2284 Dont Bother Me[37] 3 9-0 Niall Moran 105
124-31 Dundonnell[31] 3 9-0 Roger Charlton 113
63-142 Gale Force Ten[24] 3 9-0 A P O´Brien 114
412-17 Garswood[45] 3 9-0 Richard Fahey 113
631-07 George Vancouver[24] 3 9-0 A P O´Brien 110
344-32 Glory Awaits[45] 3 9-0 Kevin Ryan 114
---513 Jammy Guest[31] 3 9-0 George Margarson 84
2-6981 Leitir Mor[5] 3 9-0 J S Bolger 107
217-11 Magician[24] 3 9-0 A P O´Brien 122
--1-66 Mars[17] 3 9-0 A P O´Brien 114
-5-124 Mshawish[16] 3 9-0..
